Rebeca Grynspan leads the market at 58.5% following the Security Council’s first straw poll on 30 July 2026, where she secured the most “encourage” votes among the seven officially nominated candidates. Her position as UNCTAD Secretary-General and Costa Rican background have contributed to broad backing within the Latin American and Caribbean Group and among member states engaged in the interactive dialogues held in April and June. Rafael Grossi trails at 31% on the strength of his IAEA leadership and technical expertise in non-proliferation, though his support in the same straw poll was narrower. Lower-priced candidates Michelle Bachelet and Macky Sall face narrower pathways after limited endorsements and weaker straw-poll results, with the process now advancing toward further Council consultations before a General Assembly recommendation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rebeca Grynspan 52%
Rafael Grossi 31%
Macky Sall 3.9%
Michelle Bachelet 2.5%
$168,173 Vol.
$168,173 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan
59%

Rafael Grossi
31%

Macky Sall
4%

Michelle Bachelet
2%
Rebeca Grynspan 52%
Rafael Grossi 31%
Macky Sall 3.9%
Michelle Bachelet 2.5%
$168,173 Vol.
$168,173 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan
59%

Rafael Grossi
31%

Macky Sall
4%

Michelle Bachelet
2%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rebeca Grynspan leads the market at 58.5% following the Security Council’s first straw poll on 30 July 2026, where she secured the most “encourage” votes among the seven officially nominated candidates. Her position as UNCTAD Secretary-General and Costa Rican background have contributed to broad backing within the Latin American and Caribbean Group and among member states engaged in the interactive dialogues held in April and June. Rafael Grossi trails at 31% on the strength of his IAEA leadership and technical expertise in non-proliferation, though his support in the same straw poll was narrower. Lower-priced candidates Michelle Bachelet and Macky Sall face narrower pathways after limited endorsements and weaker straw-poll results, with the process now advancing toward further Council consultations before a General Assembly recommendation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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