Cleveland Cavaliers hold overwhelming trader consensus at 96.9% implied probability for James Harden's next destination, driven by his midseason 2025-26 trade to the team, strong on-court chemistry with Donovan Mitchell that propelled Cleveland to the Eastern Conference Finals, and ongoing contract negotiations where Harden declined his $42 million player option to pursue a new multi-year deal. Both sides have shown patience through August 2026 while the front office explores structures that preserve flexibility amid salary-cap constraints and Mitchell's extension timeline. Limited credible interest from other clubs, combined with Harden's preference for continuity at age 36, reinforces the positioning. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unexpected pivot to another Eastern Conference contender offering superior long-term security or a sudden retirement decision, though official reports and recent developments show no such movement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAgence libre NBA : James Harden Prochaine équipe
Agence libre NBA : James Harden Prochaine équipe
Cleveland Cavaliers 97.4%
Golden State Warriors 2.5%
Atlanta Hawks <1%
Memphis Grizzlies <1%
$1,295,316 Vol.
$1,295,316 Vol.
Cleveland Cavaliers
97%
Golden State Warriors
2%
Atlanta Hawks
1%
Memphis Grizzlies
1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 97.4%
Golden State Warriors 2.5%
Atlanta Hawks <1%
Memphis Grizzlies <1%
$1,295,316 Vol.
$1,295,316 Vol.
Cleveland Cavaliers
97%
Golden State Warriors
2%
Atlanta Hawks
1%
Memphis Grizzlies
1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Marché ouvert : Jun 22, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleveland Cavaliers hold overwhelming trader consensus at 96.9% implied probability for James Harden's next destination, driven by his midseason 2025-26 trade to the team, strong on-court chemistry with Donovan Mitchell that propelled Cleveland to the Eastern Conference Finals, and ongoing contract negotiations where Harden declined his $42 million player option to pursue a new multi-year deal. Both sides have shown patience through August 2026 while the front office explores structures that preserve flexibility amid salary-cap constraints and Mitchell's extension timeline. Limited credible interest from other clubs, combined with Harden's preference for continuity at age 36, reinforces the positioning. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unexpected pivot to another Eastern Conference contender offering superior long-term security or a sudden retirement decision, though official reports and recent developments show no such movement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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