Vancouver Whitecaps face stadium uncertainty after their BC Place lease expired at the end of 2025, prompting MLS owners to explore relocation options including Las Vegas in April 2026 discussions. This creates upward pressure on relocation odds despite the club's and league's repeated emphasis on remaining in Vancouver. An active MOU with the city extends through 2026 for potential new venues like Hastings Park, backed by strong 2026 attendance and fan protests highlighting local support. The closely contested 52% implied probability reflects this balance between lease-driven relocation risks and ongoing negotiations favoring continuity. A completed stadium agreement could reduce Yes odds, while stalled talks or ownership changes accelerating a move could push them higher.