Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August primary with over 83% of the vote against a weak challenger, while John James won the Republican side after consolidating support following several candidate withdrawals. Recent polling aggregates through early September show Benson ahead by roughly 7 points in a head-to-head matchup, consistent with ratings from outlets classifying the race as Lean or Likely Democratic. The open-seat dynamic after Gretchen Whitmer’s term limit has produced a competitive environment in the swing state, yet Benson’s name recognition as secretary of state and stronger fundraising have supported the current trader consensus reflected in the 90% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. No major late developments have shifted the polling trend in the past month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDémocrate 90%
Républicain 11%
Indépendant <1%
$203,774 Vol.
$203,774 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Démocrate
90%
Républicain
11%
Indépendant
<1%
Démocrate 90%
Républicain 11%
Indépendant <1%
$203,774 Vol.
$203,774 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$48,528 Vol.
90%
Républicain
$154,493 Vol.
11%
Indépendant
$753 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August primary with over 83% of the vote against a weak challenger, while John James won the Republican side after consolidating support following several candidate withdrawals. Recent polling aggregates through early September show Benson ahead by roughly 7 points in a head-to-head matchup, consistent with ratings from outlets classifying the race as Lean or Likely Democratic. The open-seat dynamic after Gretchen Whitmer’s term limit has produced a competitive environment in the swing state, yet Benson’s name recognition as secretary of state and stronger fundraising have supported the current trader consensus reflected in the 90% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. No major late developments have shifted the polling trend in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$203,774Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August primary with over 83% of the vote against a weak challenger, while John James won the Republican side after consolidating support following several candidate withdrawals. Recent polling aggregates through early September show Benson ahead by roughly 7 points in a head-to-head matchup, consistent with ratings from outlets classifying the race as Lean or Likely Democratic. The open-seat dynamic after Gretchen Whitmer’s term limit has produced a competitive environment in the swing state, yet Benson’s name recognition as secretary of state and stronger fundraising have supported the current trader consensus reflected in the 90% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. No major late developments have shifted the polling trend in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$203,774Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Jocelyn Benson secured the Democratic nomination in the August primary with over 83% of the vote against a weak challenger, while John James won the Republican side after consolidating support following several candidate withdrawals. Recent polling aggregates through early September show Benson ahead by roughly 7 points in a head-to-head matchup, consistent with ratings from outlets classifying the race as Lean or Likely Democratic. The open-seat dynamic after Gretchen Whitmer’s term limit has produced a competitive environment in the swing state, yet Benson’s name recognition as secretary of state and stronger fundraising have supported the current trader consensus reflected in the 90% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. No major late developments have shifted the polling trend in the past month.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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