Meta's Mango, an internal codename for a frontier image and video generation model developed under Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang at Meta Superintelligence Labs, was publicly detailed in December 2025 with an internal target of first-half 2026 release to challenge OpenAI's Sora and Google's multimodal tools. As of mid-June 2026, no official launch or benchmarks have occurred. The related text-focused Avocado model faced a March delay to at least May after trailing leading rivals on internal reasoning and coding tests, highlighting execution risks in Meta's push for competitive multimodal capabilities. Traders are monitoring for any imminent announcement or further slippage ahead of the market's June 30 resolution, with open-weight plans noted in April reporting adding potential complexity around exact release criteria.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$26,591 Vol.
30 juin
11%
$26,591 Vol.
30 juin
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Dec 22, 2025, 1:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Meta's Mango, an internal codename for a frontier image and video generation model developed under Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang at Meta Superintelligence Labs, was publicly detailed in December 2025 with an internal target of first-half 2026 release to challenge OpenAI's Sora and Google's multimodal tools. As of mid-June 2026, no official launch or benchmarks have occurred. The related text-focused Avocado model faced a March delay to at least May after trailing leading rivals on internal reasoning and coding tests, highlighting execution risks in Meta's push for competitive multimodal capabilities. Traders are monitoring for any imminent announcement or further slippage ahead of the market's June 30 resolution, with open-weight plans noted in April reporting adding potential complexity around exact release criteria.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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