Market-implied odds currently favor a lowest temperature of 18–19°C for London on August 10, reflecting trader consensus on mild overnight conditions amid a broader pattern of above-average UK summer warmth. Persistent high pressure and elevated sea-surface temperatures are limiting radiative cooling, while light winds and potential cloud cover further moderate minimums according to Met Office and ECMWF guidance. This aligns with climatological norms for early August but sits above historical averages due to the season’s established warmth. Model consensus shows limited spread on exact lows, with differentiation between the leading outcomes hinging on precise timing of any diurnal cooling or urban heat-island effects. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 10 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 10 août ?
18°C 39%
19°C 38%
17°C 17%
20°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 août 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
17%
18°C
39%
19°C
38%
20°C
11%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C ou plus
1%
18°C 39%
19°C 38%
17°C 17%
20°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 août 2026
13°C or below
$76 Vol.
1%
14°C
$71 Vol.
1%
15°C
$23 Vol.
2%
16°C
$32 Vol.
4%
17°C
$44 Vol.
17%
18°C
$575 Vol.
39%
19°C
$85 Vol.
38%
20°C
$61 Vol.
11%
21°C
$44 Vol.
1%
22°C
$44 Vol.
1%
23°C ou plus
$87 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds currently favor a lowest temperature of 18–19°C for London on August 10, reflecting trader consensus on mild overnight conditions amid a broader pattern of above-average UK summer warmth. Persistent high pressure and elevated sea-surface temperatures are limiting radiative cooling, while light winds and potential cloud cover further moderate minimums according to Met Office and ECMWF guidance. This aligns with climatological norms for early August but sits above historical averages due to the season’s established warmth. Model consensus shows limited spread on exact lows, with differentiation between the leading outcomes hinging on precise timing of any diurnal cooling or urban heat-island effects. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,142Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds currently favor a lowest temperature of 18–19°C for London on August 10, reflecting trader consensus on mild overnight conditions amid a broader pattern of above-average UK summer warmth. Persistent high pressure and elevated sea-surface temperatures are limiting radiative cooling, while light winds and potential cloud cover further moderate minimums according to Met Office and ECMWF guidance. This aligns with climatological norms for early August but sits above historical averages due to the season’s established warmth. Model consensus shows limited spread on exact lows, with differentiation between the leading outcomes hinging on precise timing of any diurnal cooling or urban heat-island effects. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,142Date de fin
10 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds currently favor a lowest temperature of 18–19°C for London on August 10, reflecting trader consensus on mild overnight conditions amid a broader pattern of above-average UK summer warmth. Persistent high pressure and elevated sea-surface temperatures are limiting radiative cooling, while light winds and potential cloud cover further moderate minimums according to Met Office and ECMWF guidance. This aligns with climatological norms for early August but sits above historical averages due to the season’s established warmth. Model consensus shows limited spread on exact lows, with differentiation between the leading outcomes hinging on precise timing of any diurnal cooling or urban heat-island effects. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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