**Current forecast consensus from major models points to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 10 around 11–13°C, near the 1991–2020 average low of 11.3°C for the date.** Light winds and building high pressure after earlier rain favor some radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, but residual moisture and moderate southwesterly flow should prevent extreme drops. Model runs show limited spread, with daytime highs near 18–20°C supporting a modest diurnal range. Historical extremes (record low 3.5°C in 1986) remain unlikely under the current stable pattern, while a minimum of 16°C or higher would require unusually strong warm advection or persistent cloud cover not indicated in latest guidance. Trader positioning reflects this uncertainty in the precise overnight low, with capital-weighted odds balancing the chance of near-average readings against modest deviations. Updated model runs and official observations from Schiphol or KNMI stations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 10 septembre ?
16°C ou plus 89%
6°C ou moins 82%
15°C 35%
7°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
82%
7°C
28%
8°C
16%
9°C
21%
10°C
24%
11°C
25%
12°C
22%
13°C
21%
14°C
18%
15°C
35%
16°C ou plus
89%
16°C ou plus 89%
6°C ou moins 82%
15°C 35%
7°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
$25 Vol.
82%
7°C
$10 Vol.
28%
8°C
$0 Vol.
16%
9°C
$0 Vol.
21%
10°C
$0 Vol.
24%
11°C
$0 Vol.
25%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13°C
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
18%
15°C
$10 Vol.
35%
16°C ou plus
$51 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from major models points to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 10 around 11–13°C, near the 1991–2020 average low of 11.3°C for the date.** Light winds and building high pressure after earlier rain favor some radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, but residual moisture and moderate southwesterly flow should prevent extreme drops.
Model runs show limited spread, with daytime highs near 18–20°C supporting a modest diurnal range. Historical extremes (record low 3.5°C in 1986) remain unlikely under the current stable pattern, while a minimum of 16°C or higher would require unusually strong warm advection or persistent cloud cover not indicated in latest guidance. Trader positioning reflects this uncertainty in the precise overnight low, with capital-weighted odds balancing the chance of near-average readings against modest deviations. Updated model runs and official observations from Schiphol or KNMI stations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$96Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from major models points to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 10 around 11–13°C, near the 1991–2020 average low of 11.3°C for the date.** Light winds and building high pressure after earlier rain favor some radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, but residual moisture and moderate southwesterly flow should prevent extreme drops.
Model runs show limited spread, with daytime highs near 18–20°C supporting a modest diurnal range. Historical extremes (record low 3.5°C in 1986) remain unlikely under the current stable pattern, while a minimum of 16°C or higher would require unusually strong warm advection or persistent cloud cover not indicated in latest guidance. Trader positioning reflects this uncertainty in the precise overnight low, with capital-weighted odds balancing the chance of near-average readings against modest deviations. Updated model runs and official observations from Schiphol or KNMI stations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$96Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from major models points to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 10 around 11–13°C, near the 1991–2020 average low of 11.3°C for the date.** Light winds and building high pressure after earlier rain favor some radiative cooling overnight under partly cloudy skies, but residual moisture and moderate southwesterly flow should prevent extreme drops. Model runs show limited spread, with daytime highs near 18–20°C supporting a modest diurnal range. Historical extremes (record low 3.5°C in 1986) remain unlikely under the current stable pattern, while a minimum of 16°C or higher would require unusually strong warm advection or persistent cloud cover not indicated in latest guidance. Trader positioning reflects this uncertainty in the precise overnight low, with capital-weighted odds balancing the chance of near-average readings against modest deviations. Updated model runs and official observations from Schiphol or KNMI stations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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