The closely matched trader probabilities for Democrats winning 0, 1, 2, or 3+ U.S. House seats in South Carolina reflect the state's seven-district map, where most seats lean Republican but a handful remain competitive due to demographic shifts in suburban and coastal areas ahead of the 2026 midterms. Incumbency advantages, candidate recruitment and quality in open seats, fundraising trends, and turnout patterns among key voting blocs create ongoing uncertainty. National political conditions, including the midterm environment and any late-cycle polling movement in targeted districts, could shift the balance, while early primary outcomes or endorsements have yet to produce clear separation in market pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCombien de sièges les démocrates gagneront-ils à la Chambre en Caroline du Sud ?
1 41%
2 39%
3+ 39%
0 38%
0
38%
1
41%
2
39%
3+
39%
1 41%
2 39%
3+ 39%
0 38%
0
38%
1
41%
2
39%
3+
39%
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 10:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched trader probabilities for Democrats winning 0, 1, 2, or 3+ U.S. House seats in South Carolina reflect the state's seven-district map, where most seats lean Republican but a handful remain competitive due to demographic shifts in suburban and coastal areas ahead of the 2026 midterms. Incumbency advantages, candidate recruitment and quality in open seats, fundraising trends, and turnout patterns among key voting blocs create ongoing uncertainty. National political conditions, including the midterm environment and any late-cycle polling movement in targeted districts, could shift the balance, while early primary outcomes or endorsements have yet to produce clear separation in market pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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