Recent strength in U.S. labor market data, including August nonfarm payrolls that exceeded forecasts, has reinforced expectations for a potential Federal Reserve rate hike at the mid-September FOMC meeting under Chairman Kevin Warsh, supporting 30-year Treasury yields near 5.24% as of September 4. Persistent inflation concerns, reflected in market-implied odds of roughly 70% for a September tightening, have kept long-term borrowing costs elevated after the yield touched 5.34% in mid-August—levels not seen since 2007. Key upcoming releases, including September 11 CPI and additional employment figures, will influence the market-implied path for the federal funds rate and Treasury supply dynamics amid ongoing fiscal deficits.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuel sera le rendement des bons du Trésor à 30 ans en septembre ?
Quel sera le rendement des bons du Trésor à 30 ans en septembre ?
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
5,60 %
13%
5,55 %
15%
5,50 %
17%
5,45 %
23%
5,42 %
29%
5,39 %
38%
5,36 %
47%
5,33 %
54%
5,30 %
68%
$165 Vol.
5,60 %
$20 Vol.
13%
5,55 %
$0 Vol.
15%
5,50 %
$0 Vol.
17%
5,45 %
$0 Vol.
23%
5,42 %
$0 Vol.
29%
5,39 %
$0 Vol.
38%
5,36 %
$0 Vol.
47%
5,33 %
$145 Vol.
54%
5,30 %
$0 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent strength in U.S. labor market data, including August nonfarm payrolls that exceeded forecasts, has reinforced expectations for a potential Federal Reserve rate hike at the mid-September FOMC meeting under Chairman Kevin Warsh, supporting 30-year Treasury yields near 5.24% as of September 4. Persistent inflation concerns, reflected in market-implied odds of roughly 70% for a September tightening, have kept long-term borrowing costs elevated after the yield touched 5.34% in mid-August—levels not seen since 2007. Key upcoming releases, including September 11 CPI and additional employment figures, will influence the market-implied path for the federal funds rate and Treasury supply dynamics amid ongoing fiscal deficits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Volume
$165Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent strength in U.S. labor market data, including August nonfarm payrolls that exceeded forecasts, has reinforced expectations for a potential Federal Reserve rate hike at the mid-September FOMC meeting under Chairman Kevin Warsh, supporting 30-year Treasury yields near 5.24% as of September 4. Persistent inflation concerns, reflected in market-implied odds of roughly 70% for a September tightening, have kept long-term borrowing costs elevated after the yield touched 5.34% in mid-August—levels not seen since 2007. Key upcoming releases, including September 11 CPI and additional employment figures, will influence the market-implied path for the federal funds rate and Treasury supply dynamics amid ongoing fiscal deficits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volume
$165Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Recent strength in U.S. labor market data, including August nonfarm payrolls that exceeded forecasts, has reinforced expectations for a potential Federal Reserve rate hike at the mid-September FOMC meeting under Chairman Kevin Warsh, supporting 30-year Treasury yields near 5.24% as of September 4. Persistent inflation concerns, reflected in market-implied odds of roughly 70% for a September tightening, have kept long-term borrowing costs elevated after the yield touched 5.34% in mid-August—levels not seen since 2007. Key upcoming releases, including September 11 CPI and additional employment figures, will influence the market-implied path for the federal funds rate and Treasury supply dynamics amid ongoing fiscal deficits.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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