Model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, AccuWeather, and European guidance projects a coastal high of 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 9 under typical Mediterranean summer conditions, with light westerly winds, abundant sunshine, and moderate humidity supporting peak heating near midday. This aligns with the long-term August average of 32°C while remaining slightly above baseline due to persistent regional warmth. Minor spreads in model timing of maximum temperatures and sea-breeze onset create the observed market tilt toward 33°C as the leading outcome, with 34°C possible only under brief clear-sky intensification and negligible probability for extremes given current stability and lack of synoptic forcing. Updated runs through August 8 confirm no significant shifts expected before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 9 août ?
33°C 66%
32°C 24%
34°C 11%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
24%
33°C
66%
34°C
11%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 66%
32°C 24%
34°C 11%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
24%
33°C
66%
34°C
11%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service, AccuWeather, and European guidance projects a coastal high of 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 9 under typical Mediterranean summer conditions, with light westerly winds, abundant sunshine, and moderate humidity supporting peak heating near midday. This aligns with the long-term August average of 32°C while remaining slightly above baseline due to persistent regional warmth. Minor spreads in model timing of maximum temperatures and sea-breeze onset create the observed market tilt toward 33°C as the leading outcome, with 34°C possible only under brief clear-sky intensification and negligible probability for extremes given current stability and lack of synoptic forcing. Updated runs through August 8 confirm no significant shifts expected before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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