Recent model guidance and observational trends from southeastern Brazil indicate a post-frontal warming trend on August 8, with high-pressure subsidence and reduced cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near or slightly above the 23–25°C August climatological average for São Paulo. This follows cooler boundary-layer conditions on August 7 driven by a frontal passage that suppressed highs around 25°C. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 28°C and 29°C because ensemble runs show limited further intensification once mixing and any residual moisture are factored in, while historical analogs for early-August post-frontal days rarely exceed 30°C. Updated INMET and global model outputs expected later today will refine landfall timing and thermal profiles ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 8 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 8 août ?
28°C 45%
29°C 25%
27°C 18%
30°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$12,339 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,339 Vol.
8 août 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
18%
28°C
45%
29°C
25%
30°C
9%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 45%
29°C 25%
27°C 18%
30°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$12,339 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,339 Vol.
8 août 2026
22°C or below
$493 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$653 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$459 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$464 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$445 Vol.
4%
27°C
$2,944 Vol.
18%
28°C
$1,127 Vol.
45%
29°C
$2,815 Vol.
25%
30°C
$1,892 Vol.
9%
31°C
$1,039 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$345 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and observational trends from southeastern Brazil indicate a post-frontal warming trend on August 8, with high-pressure subsidence and reduced cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near or slightly above the 23–25°C August climatological average for São Paulo. This follows cooler boundary-layer conditions on August 7 driven by a frontal passage that suppressed highs around 25°C. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 28°C and 29°C because ensemble runs show limited further intensification once mixing and any residual moisture are factored in, while historical analogs for early-August post-frontal days rarely exceed 30°C. Updated INMET and global model outputs expected later today will refine landfall timing and thermal profiles ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$12,339Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and observational trends from southeastern Brazil indicate a post-frontal warming trend on August 8, with high-pressure subsidence and reduced cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near or slightly above the 23–25°C August climatological average for São Paulo. This follows cooler boundary-layer conditions on August 7 driven by a frontal passage that suppressed highs around 25°C. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 28°C and 29°C because ensemble runs show limited further intensification once mixing and any residual moisture are factored in, while historical analogs for early-August post-frontal days rarely exceed 30°C. Updated INMET and global model outputs expected later today will refine landfall timing and thermal profiles ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,339Date de fin
8 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance and observational trends from southeastern Brazil indicate a post-frontal warming trend on August 8, with high-pressure subsidence and reduced cloud cover supporting daytime maxima near or slightly above the 23–25°C August climatological average for São Paulo. This follows cooler boundary-layer conditions on August 7 driven by a frontal passage that suppressed highs around 25°C. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 28°C and 29°C because ensemble runs show limited further intensification once mixing and any residual moisture are factored in, while historical analogs for early-August post-frontal days rarely exceed 30°C. Updated INMET and global model outputs expected later today will refine landfall timing and thermal profiles ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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