Recent forecast model runs from the National Weather Service and private providers show variable marine layer depth and onshore flow strength for September 9 in San Francisco, creating tight uncertainty around peak daytime heating at official stations. This underpins the market's clustered implied probabilities near 90–93°F, with traders assigning roughly 46% combined odds to those two bins as the most likely resolution range. Historical September baselines near 70–71°F provide context, yet recent model consensus on reduced cloud cover and lighter winds supports the elevated trader sentiment. Updated NWS point forecasts and any late adjustments to boundary-layer conditions ahead of tomorrow's maximum will likely drive the final outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 9 septembre ?
92-93°F 27%
90-91 °F 26%
88-89°F 17%
86-87 °F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
77°F ou moins
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83 °F
<1%
84-85 °F
4%
86-87 °F
8%
88-89°F
17%
90-91 °F
26%
92-93°F
27%
94-95 °F
8%
96°F ou plus
4%
92-93°F 27%
90-91 °F 26%
88-89°F 17%
86-87 °F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
77°F ou moins
$526 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$336 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$207 Vol.
<1%
82-83 °F
$395 Vol.
<1%
84-85 °F
$204 Vol.
4%
86-87 °F
$167 Vol.
8%
88-89°F
$419 Vol.
17%
90-91 °F
$1,215 Vol.
26%
92-93°F
$554 Vol.
27%
94-95 °F
$986 Vol.
8%
96°F ou plus
$1,144 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the National Weather Service and private providers show variable marine layer depth and onshore flow strength for September 9 in San Francisco, creating tight uncertainty around peak daytime heating at official stations. This underpins the market's clustered implied probabilities near 90–93°F, with traders assigning roughly 46% combined odds to those two bins as the most likely resolution range. Historical September baselines near 70–71°F provide context, yet recent model consensus on reduced cloud cover and lighter winds supports the elevated trader sentiment. Updated NWS point forecasts and any late adjustments to boundary-layer conditions ahead of tomorrow's maximum will likely drive the final outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,154Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the National Weather Service and private providers show variable marine layer depth and onshore flow strength for September 9 in San Francisco, creating tight uncertainty around peak daytime heating at official stations. This underpins the market's clustered implied probabilities near 90–93°F, with traders assigning roughly 46% combined odds to those two bins as the most likely resolution range. Historical September baselines near 70–71°F provide context, yet recent model consensus on reduced cloud cover and lighter winds supports the elevated trader sentiment. Updated NWS point forecasts and any late adjustments to boundary-layer conditions ahead of tomorrow's maximum will likely drive the final outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,154Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from the National Weather Service and private providers show variable marine layer depth and onshore flow strength for September 9 in San Francisco, creating tight uncertainty around peak daytime heating at official stations. This underpins the market's clustered implied probabilities near 90–93°F, with traders assigning roughly 46% combined odds to those two bins as the most likely resolution range. Historical September baselines near 70–71°F provide context, yet recent model consensus on reduced cloud cover and lighter winds supports the elevated trader sentiment. Updated NWS point forecasts and any late adjustments to boundary-layer conditions ahead of tomorrow's maximum will likely drive the final outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 84 et 85°F le 8 septembre ?
36%
Oui
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 80 et 81°F le 7 septembre ?
100%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 66 et 67°F le 9 septembre ?
43%
Oui
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