Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a highest temperature near 22–23°C in Istanbul on September 17, 2026, under persistent northeasterly winds and variable cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Current surface observations show temperatures holding around 22–24°C amid mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with a cooler-than-normal pattern for mid-September. Model consensus favors modest warming to the low 20s Celsius rather than the seasonal average high near 25°C, with light precipitation chances further capping peaks. Traders appear to weigh these short-range forecast trends and ensemble spreads against historical norms, positioning 22°C as the modal outcome while allowing for modest upside if skies clear more than expected.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 17 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 17 septembre ?
22°C 48%
23°C 24%
21°C 17%
24°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
17%
22°C
48%
23°C
24%
24°C
6%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C ou plus
2%
22°C 48%
23°C 24%
21°C 17%
24°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
$161 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$110 Vol.
4%
21°C
$71 Vol.
17%
22°C
$84 Vol.
48%
23°C
$29 Vol.
24%
24°C
$21 Vol.
6%
25°C
$27 Vol.
5%
26°C
$42 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a highest temperature near 22–23°C in Istanbul on September 17, 2026, under persistent northeasterly winds and variable cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Current surface observations show temperatures holding around 22–24°C amid mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with a cooler-than-normal pattern for mid-September. Model consensus favors modest warming to the low 20s Celsius rather than the seasonal average high near 25°C, with light precipitation chances further capping peaks. Traders appear to weigh these short-range forecast trends and ensemble spreads against historical norms, positioning 22°C as the modal outcome while allowing for modest upside if skies clear more than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$711Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a highest temperature near 22–23°C in Istanbul on September 17, 2026, under persistent northeasterly winds and variable cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Current surface observations show temperatures holding around 22–24°C amid mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with a cooler-than-normal pattern for mid-September. Model consensus favors modest warming to the low 20s Celsius rather than the seasonal average high near 25°C, with light precipitation chances further capping peaks. Traders appear to weigh these short-range forecast trends and ensemble spreads against historical norms, positioning 22°C as the modal outcome while allowing for modest upside if skies clear more than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$711Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a highest temperature near 22–23°C in Istanbul on September 17, 2026, under persistent northeasterly winds and variable cloud cover that limit daytime heating. Current surface observations show temperatures holding around 22–24°C amid mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with a cooler-than-normal pattern for mid-September. Model consensus favors modest warming to the low 20s Celsius rather than the seasonal average high near 25°C, with light precipitation chances further capping peaks. Traders appear to weigh these short-range forecast trends and ensemble spreads against historical norms, positioning 22°C as the modal outcome while allowing for modest upside if skies clear more than expected.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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