Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Amsterdam's July 21 high temperature will likely peak near 20–21°C, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to these outcomes due to narrow uncertainty ranges in boundary-layer mixing and advection patterns. Subtle differences hinge on North Sea sea-surface temperatures, which modulate local humidity and cloud formation, alongside the strength of any high-pressure ridge versus incoming Atlantic troughs that could cap daytime heating by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 21°C provide baseline context, while short-range model runs show minimal spread this close to the event, limiting further shifts absent unexpected frontal timing changes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 21 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 21 juillet ?
22°C 100.0%
16°C ou moins <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$110,011 Vol.
$110,011 Vol.
21 juil. 2026
16°C ou moins
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Oui
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C ou plus
Non
22°C 100.0%
16°C ou moins <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$110,011 Vol.
$110,011 Vol.
21 juil. 2026
16°C ou moins
$284 Vol.
Non
17°C
$1,613 Vol.
Non
18°C
$2,583 Vol.
Non
19°C
$15,501 Vol.
Non
20°C
$14,983 Vol.
Non
21°C
$39,248 Vol.
Non
22°C
$19,539 Vol.
Oui
23°C
$8,317 Vol.
Non
24°C
$3,648 Vol.
Non
25°C
$1,696 Vol.
Non
26°C ou plus
$2,600 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Amsterdam's July 21 high temperature will likely peak near 20–21°C, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to these outcomes due to narrow uncertainty ranges in boundary-layer mixing and advection patterns. Subtle differences hinge on North Sea sea-surface temperatures, which modulate local humidity and cloud formation, alongside the strength of any high-pressure ridge versus incoming Atlantic troughs that could cap daytime heating by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 21°C provide baseline context, while short-range model runs show minimal spread this close to the event, limiting further shifts absent unexpected frontal timing changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$110,011Date de fin
21 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Amsterdam's July 21 high temperature will likely peak near 20–21°C, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to these outcomes due to narrow uncertainty ranges in boundary-layer mixing and advection patterns. Subtle differences hinge on North Sea sea-surface temperatures, which modulate local humidity and cloud formation, alongside the strength of any high-pressure ridge versus incoming Atlantic troughs that could cap daytime heating by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 21°C provide baseline context, while short-range model runs show minimal spread this close to the event, limiting further shifts absent unexpected frontal timing changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$110,011Date de fin
21 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Amsterdam's July 21 high temperature will likely peak near 20–21°C, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to these outcomes due to narrow uncertainty ranges in boundary-layer mixing and advection patterns. Subtle differences hinge on North Sea sea-surface temperatures, which modulate local humidity and cloud formation, alongside the strength of any high-pressure ridge versus incoming Atlantic troughs that could cap daytime heating by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 21°C provide baseline context, while short-range model runs show minimal spread this close to the event, limiting further shifts absent unexpected frontal timing changes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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