Incumbent Democrat Chris Coons holds a commanding position in the 2026 Delaware Senate race, reflected in the market's 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the state's partisan voting index of roughly D+8 and its recent presidential margins. Coons faces a September 15 Democratic primary against limited challengers, while Republican primary candidates remain largely unknown and underfunded. Delaware has not elected a Republican senator in decades, and no recent polling or endorsements suggest a shift. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican tide could narrow the gap, though structural factors and historical base rates make such reversals improbable before the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$15,119 Vol.
$15,119 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
95%
Républicain
5%
$15,119 Vol.
$15,119 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$9,903 Vol.
95%
Républicain
$5,216 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Delaware U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Chris Coons holds a commanding position in the 2026 Delaware Senate race, reflected in the market's 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the state's partisan voting index of roughly D+8 and its recent presidential margins. Coons faces a September 15 Democratic primary against limited challengers, while Republican primary candidates remain largely unknown and underfunded. Delaware has not elected a Republican senator in decades, and no recent polling or endorsements suggest a shift. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican tide could narrow the gap, though structural factors and historical base rates make such reversals improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Delaware U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$15,119Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Delaware U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Chris Coons holds a commanding position in the 2026 Delaware Senate race, reflected in the market's 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the state's partisan voting index of roughly D+8 and its recent presidential margins. Coons faces a September 15 Democratic primary against limited challengers, while Republican primary candidates remain largely unknown and underfunded. Delaware has not elected a Republican senator in decades, and no recent polling or endorsements suggest a shift. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican tide could narrow the gap, though structural factors and historical base rates make such reversals improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Delaware U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$15,119Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chris Coons holds a commanding position in the 2026 Delaware Senate race, reflected in the market's 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the state's partisan voting index of roughly D+8 and its recent presidential margins. Coons faces a September 15 Democratic primary against limited challengers, while Republican primary candidates remain largely unknown and underfunded. Delaware has not elected a Republican senator in decades, and no recent polling or endorsements suggest a shift. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican tide could narrow the gap, though structural factors and historical base rates make such reversals improbable before the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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