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Politique·Cap-Vert

Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle au Cap-Vert

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle au Cap-Vert
Politique·Cap-Vert

Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle au Cap-Vert

José Maria Neves 68%

Janine Lélis 11%

Milton Paiva 8%

Péricles Tavares 8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

José Maria Neves 68%

Janine Lélis 11%

Milton Paiva 8%

Péricles Tavares 8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for José Maria Neves

José Maria Neves

$1,048 Vol.

68%

icon for Janine Lélis

Janine Lélis

$198 Vol.

11%

icon for Milton Paiva

Milton Paiva

$235 Vol.

8%

icon for Péricles Tavares

Péricles Tavares

$223 Vol.

8%

icon for Fernando Delgado

Fernando Delgado

$198 Vol.

6%

icon for Casimiro de Pina

Casimiro de Pina

$198 Vol.

5%

icon for Joana Rosa

Joana Rosa

$223 Vol.

2%

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).Incumbent President José Maria Neves of the PAICV holds the strongest position in the November 15, 2026, Cape Verde presidential election market, reflecting his 2021 first-round victory and the party's May 2026 parliamentary win that shifted legislative control. This recent consolidation of party strength supports trader consensus around his re-election prospects in a system requiring an absolute majority or runoff. Declared opposition figures from the MpD, including Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, trail significantly, consistent with the party's recent legislative setback. The three-month timeline to the first round leaves room for shifts driven by candidate nominations, campaign developments, or turnout patterns among the archipelago's voters, though no major new announcements have altered positioning in recent weeks.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Volume
$2,323
Date de fin
15 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).Incumbent President José Maria Neves of the PAICV holds the strongest position in the November 15, 2026, Cape Verde presidential election market, reflecting his 2021 first-round victory and the party's May 2026 parliamentary win that shifted legislative control. This recent consolidation of party strength supports trader consensus around his re-election prospects in a system requiring an absolute majority or runoff. Declared opposition figures from the MpD, including Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, trail significantly, consistent with the party's recent legislative setback. The three-month timeline to the first round leaves room for shifts driven by candidate nominations, campaign developments, or turnout patterns among the archipelago's voters, though no major new announcements have altered positioning in recent weeks.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Volume
$2,323
Date de fin
15 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).

Connexes

icon for Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

14%
Oui
icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva remportera-t-il l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva remportera-t-il l'élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?

64%
Oui
icon for Un candidat à la présidence gagnera-t-il dès le premier tour de l'élection au Brésil ?

Un candidat à la présidence gagnera-t-il dès le premier tour de l'élection au Brésil ?

9%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle au Cap-Vert » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « José Maria Neves » à 68%, suivi de « Janine Lélis » à 11%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 68¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 68% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle au Cap-Vert » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 11, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle au Cap-Vert », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle au Cap-Vert » est « José Maria Neves » à 68%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 68% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Janine Lélis » à 11%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle au Cap-Vert » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.