Canada's monthly GDP advance estimate from Statistics Canada indicated essentially flat output in July 2026, following a 0.3% gain in June, with gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services offset by declines in retail trade and manufacturing. This preliminary reading aligns closely with the market's heaviest weighting on the 0.0–0.1% outcome range, reflecting trader consensus around the flash data ahead of the official September 29 release. Broader context includes robust 0.8% quarterly GDP growth in Q2, driven by exports and domestic demand, though July trade data showed a narrowing surplus amid softer energy shipments, tempering expectations for sustained momentum into Q3 amid ongoing tariff uncertainties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour0,0 à 0,1 % 57%
0,2 à 0,3 % 24%
<0,0 % 17%
0,4 à 0,5 % <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 sept. 2026
<0,0 %
18%
0,0 à 0,1 %
57%
0,2 à 0,3 %
24%
0,4 à 0,5 %
1%
0,6 à 0,7 %
<1%
0,8 %+
<1%
0,0 à 0,1 % 57%
0,2 à 0,3 % 24%
<0,0 % 17%
0,4 à 0,5 % <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
29 sept. 2026
<0,0 %
$1,766 Vol.
18%
0,0 à 0,1 %
$1,059 Vol.
57%
0,2 à 0,3 %
$1,907 Vol.
24%
0,4 à 0,5 %
$1,344 Vol.
1%
0,6 à 0,7 %
$345 Vol.
<1%
0,8 %+
$1,317 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada's monthly GDP advance estimate from Statistics Canada indicated essentially flat output in July 2026, following a 0.3% gain in June, with gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services offset by declines in retail trade and manufacturing. This preliminary reading aligns closely with the market's heaviest weighting on the 0.0–0.1% outcome range, reflecting trader consensus around the flash data ahead of the official September 29 release. Broader context includes robust 0.8% quarterly GDP growth in Q2, driven by exports and domestic demand, though July trade data showed a narrowing surplus amid softer energy shipments, tempering expectations for sustained momentum into Q3 amid ongoing tariff uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$7,740Date de fin
29 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada's monthly GDP advance estimate from Statistics Canada indicated essentially flat output in July 2026, following a 0.3% gain in June, with gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services offset by declines in retail trade and manufacturing. This preliminary reading aligns closely with the market's heaviest weighting on the 0.0–0.1% outcome range, reflecting trader consensus around the flash data ahead of the official September 29 release. Broader context includes robust 0.8% quarterly GDP growth in Q2, driven by exports and domestic demand, though July trade data showed a narrowing surplus amid softer energy shipments, tempering expectations for sustained momentum into Q3 amid ongoing tariff uncertainties.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Volume
$7,740Date de fin
29 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Canada's monthly GDP advance estimate from Statistics Canada indicated essentially flat output in July 2026, following a 0.3% gain in June, with gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services offset by declines in retail trade and manufacturing. This preliminary reading aligns closely with the market's heaviest weighting on the 0.0–0.1% outcome range, reflecting trader consensus around the flash data ahead of the official September 29 release. Broader context includes robust 0.8% quarterly GDP growth in Q2, driven by exports and domestic demand, though July trade data showed a narrowing surplus amid softer energy shipments, tempering expectations for sustained momentum into Q3 amid ongoing tariff uncertainties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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