The women's skateboard vert best trick field at the imminent X Games New Orleans 2026 remains exceptionally tight, with top athletes clustered near even implied probabilities due to the event's high-variance format of landing a single high-difficulty aerial maneuver on the vert ramp. Recent results from the June Sacramento stop underscore this parity, where Arisa Trew claimed gold amid strong showings from Mia Kretzer, Lilly Stoephasius, Bryce Wettstein, and international standouts like Asahi Kaihara, Arisa Trew, Mizuho Hasegawa, Reese Nelson, and Juno Matsuoka. Depth across the roster, combined with variables like ramp speed, trick selection under pressure, and minor form fluctuations, sustains the balanced trader consensus without a dominant frontrunner emerging.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMia Kretzer 52%
Juno Matsuoka 50%
Lilly Stoephasius 50%
Reese Nelson 50%
NEW
NEW
Jul 25, 2026
Mia Kretzer
52%
Juno Matsuoka
50%
Lilly Stoephasius
50%
Reese Nelson
50%
Bryce Wettstein
50%
Other
50%
Asahi Kaihara
50%
Arisa Trew
50%
Raicca Ventura
50%
Mizuho Hasegawa
50%
Mia Kretzer 52%
Juno Matsuoka 50%
Lilly Stoephasius 50%
Reese Nelson 50%
NEW
NEW
Jul 25, 2026
Mia Kretzer
$0 Vol.
52%
Juno Matsuoka
$0 Vol.
50%
Lilly Stoephasius
$0 Vol.
50%
Reese Nelson
$0 Vol.
50%
Bryce Wettstein
$0 Vol.
50%
Other
$0 Vol.
50%
Asahi Kaihara
$0 Vol.
50%
Arisa Trew
$0 Vol.
50%
Raicca Ventura
$0 Vol.
50%
Mizuho Hasegawa
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert Best Trick - Women's event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert Best Trick - Women's event per the rules of the X Games (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed last name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group.
If this event is postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the X Games.The women's skateboard vert best trick field at the imminent X Games New Orleans 2026 remains exceptionally tight, with top athletes clustered near even implied probabilities due to the event's high-variance format of landing a single high-difficulty aerial maneuver on the vert ramp. Recent results from the June Sacramento stop underscore this parity, where Arisa Trew claimed gold amid strong showings from Mia Kretzer, Lilly Stoephasius, Bryce Wettstein, and international standouts like Asahi Kaihara, Arisa Trew, Mizuho Hasegawa, Reese Nelson, and Juno Matsuoka. Depth across the roster, combined with variables like ramp speed, trick selection under pressure, and minor form fluctuations, sustains the balanced trader consensus without a dominant frontrunner emerging.
This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert Best Trick - Women's event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert Best Trick - Women's event per the rules of the X Games (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed last name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group.
If this event is postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the X Games.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert Best Trick - Women's event per the rules of the X Games (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed last name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group.
If this event is postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the X Games.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 10:13 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.xgames.com/events/new-orleans-2026/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert Best Trick - Women's event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert Best Trick - Women's event per the rules of the X Games (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed last name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group.
If this event is postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the X Games.The women's skateboard vert best trick field at the imminent X Games New Orleans 2026 remains exceptionally tight, with top athletes clustered near even implied probabilities due to the event's high-variance format of landing a single high-difficulty aerial maneuver on the vert ramp. Recent results from the June Sacramento stop underscore this parity, where Arisa Trew claimed gold amid strong showings from Mia Kretzer, Lilly Stoephasius, Bryce Wettstein, and international standouts like Asahi Kaihara, Arisa Trew, Mizuho Hasegawa, Reese Nelson, and Juno Matsuoka. Depth across the roster, combined with variables like ramp speed, trick selection under pressure, and minor form fluctuations, sustains the balanced trader consensus without a dominant frontrunner emerging.
This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert Best Trick - Women's event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert Best Trick - Women's event per the rules of the X Games (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed last name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group.
If this event is postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the X Games.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert Best Trick - Women's event per the rules of the X Games (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed last name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group.
If this event is postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the X Games.
Volume
$0End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 10:13 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.xgames.com/events/new-orleans-2026/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The women's skateboard vert best trick field at the imminent X Games New Orleans 2026 remains exceptionally tight, with top athletes clustered near even implied probabilities due to the event's high-variance format of landing a single high-difficulty aerial maneuver on the vert ramp. Recent results from the June Sacramento stop underscore this parity, where Arisa Trew claimed gold amid strong showings from Mia Kretzer, Lilly Stoephasius, Bryce Wettstein, and international standouts like Asahi Kaihara, Arisa Trew, Mizuho Hasegawa, Reese Nelson, and Juno Matsuoka. Depth across the roster, combined with variables like ramp speed, trick selection under pressure, and minor form fluctuations, sustains the balanced trader consensus without a dominant frontrunner emerging.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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