Mexico enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup as Group A co-hosts with home advantage at Estadio Azteca and a squad built around Edson Álvarez under coach Javier Aguirre, which traders have priced at a 55.5% implied probability reflecting venue familiarity and recent training camp momentum. South Korea follows at 21.5% on the back of Son Heung-min's leadership, consistent qualification results, and an unbeaten AFC campaign, though recent friendlies highlighted defensive gaps. Czechia sits at 18.5% thanks to set-piece strength and Patrik Schick's finishing in an expanded tournament that favors organized sides. South Africa trails at 6.3% with a largely domestic roster returning after a lengthy absence and facing stiffer competition in matches beginning June 11.