Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic haul has reached roughly $925 million, placing it within striking distance of Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ long-standing $936.7 million record after a record $360 million opening and six straight weeks at No. 1. Sustained audience demand, premium-format ticket sales, and light late-summer competition have delivered stronger legs than most blockbusters, allowing the film to surpass Avengers: Endgame and No Way Home domestically while crossing $2.4 billion worldwide. With daily grosses still in the low-to-mid seven figures through early September and fall releases offering minimal direct threat, the market-implied odds heavily favor a crossover in the coming weeks if weekly performance holds above single-digit millions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by...?
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by...?
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
September 13
45%
September 15
94%
September 17
96%
September 19
95%
September 21
96%
$3,959 Vol.
September 13
$1,643 Vol.
45%
September 15
$1,191 Vol.
94%
September 17
$312 Vol.
96%
September 19
$330 Vol.
95%
September 21
$483 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic haul has reached roughly $925 million, placing it within striking distance of Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ long-standing $936.7 million record after a record $360 million opening and six straight weeks at No. 1. Sustained audience demand, premium-format ticket sales, and light late-summer competition have delivered stronger legs than most blockbusters, allowing the film to surpass Avengers: Endgame and No Way Home domestically while crossing $2.4 billion worldwide. With daily grosses still in the low-to-mid seven figures through early September and fall releases offering minimal direct threat, the market-implied odds heavily favor a crossover in the coming weeks if weekly performance holds above single-digit millions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Volume
$3,959End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic haul has reached roughly $925 million, placing it within striking distance of Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ long-standing $936.7 million record after a record $360 million opening and six straight weeks at No. 1. Sustained audience demand, premium-format ticket sales, and light late-summer competition have delivered stronger legs than most blockbusters, allowing the film to surpass Avengers: Endgame and No Way Home domestically while crossing $2.4 billion worldwide. With daily grosses still in the low-to-mid seven figures through early September and fall releases offering minimal direct threat, the market-implied odds heavily favor a crossover in the coming weeks if weekly performance holds above single-digit millions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
Volume
$3,959End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 4:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic haul has reached roughly $925 million, placing it within striking distance of Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ long-standing $936.7 million record after a record $360 million opening and six straight weeks at No. 1. Sustained audience demand, premium-format ticket sales, and light late-summer competition have delivered stronger legs than most blockbusters, allowing the film to surpass Avengers: Endgame and No Way Home domestically while crossing $2.4 billion worldwide. With daily grosses still in the low-to-mid seven figures through early September and fall releases offering minimal direct threat, the market-implied odds heavily favor a crossover in the coming weeks if weekly performance holds above single-digit millions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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