US natural gas futures, benchmarked at Henry Hub, trade near $2.75–2.81 per MMBtu as of late August 2026, pressured by record Lower 48 production averaging 111.5 bcfd alongside inventories 6.7% above five-year norms. LNG feedgas demand has softened due to ongoing maintenance at facilities like Corpus Christi, leaving excess supply for domestic use despite above-normal temperatures supporting power-sector cooling demand through early September. EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook lowered its 2026 Henry Hub forecast to $3.44, citing these supply dynamics. With only days remaining before month-end, trader-implied odds reflect limited volatility potential absent an unexpected weather shift or storage report surprise, as futures remain well below $3.00 and historical late-summer seasonal weakness persists.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$10,053 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
↑ $5.00
2%
↑ $4.75
2%
↑ $4.50
4%
↑ $4.25
12%
↓ $3.90
3%
↓ $3.70
4%
↓ $3.50
2%
↓ $3.25
1%
↓ $3.00
2%
↓ $2.50
1%
$10,053 Vol.
↑ $5.00
$2,385 Vol.
2%
↑ $4.75
$366 Vol.
2%
↑ $4.50
$2,289 Vol.
4%
↑ $4.25
$1,604 Vol.
12%
↓ $3.90
$587 Vol.
3%
↓ $3.70
$1,511 Vol.
4%
↓ $3.50
$276 Vol.
2%
↓ $3.25
$348 Vol.
1%
↓ $3.00
$299 Vol.
2%
↓ $2.50
$389 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US natural gas futures, benchmarked at Henry Hub, trade near $2.75–2.81 per MMBtu as of late August 2026, pressured by record Lower 48 production averaging 111.5 bcfd alongside inventories 6.7% above five-year norms. LNG feedgas demand has softened due to ongoing maintenance at facilities like Corpus Christi, leaving excess supply for domestic use despite above-normal temperatures supporting power-sector cooling demand through early September. EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook lowered its 2026 Henry Hub forecast to $3.44, citing these supply dynamics. With only days remaining before month-end, trader-implied odds reflect limited volatility potential absent an unexpected weather shift or storage report surprise, as futures remain well below $3.00 and historical late-summer seasonal weakness persists.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
Volume
$10,053End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US natural gas futures, benchmarked at Henry Hub, trade near $2.75–2.81 per MMBtu as of late August 2026, pressured by record Lower 48 production averaging 111.5 bcfd alongside inventories 6.7% above five-year norms. LNG feedgas demand has softened due to ongoing maintenance at facilities like Corpus Christi, leaving excess supply for domestic use despite above-normal temperatures supporting power-sector cooling demand through early September. EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook lowered its 2026 Henry Hub forecast to $3.44, citing these supply dynamics. With only days remaining before month-end, trader-implied odds reflect limited volatility potential absent an unexpected weather shift or storage report surprise, as futures remain well below $3.00 and historical late-summer seasonal weakness persists.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$10,053End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...US natural gas futures, benchmarked at Henry Hub, trade near $2.75–2.81 per MMBtu as of late August 2026, pressured by record Lower 48 production averaging 111.5 bcfd alongside inventories 6.7% above five-year norms. LNG feedgas demand has softened due to ongoing maintenance at facilities like Corpus Christi, leaving excess supply for domestic use despite above-normal temperatures supporting power-sector cooling demand through early September. EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook lowered its 2026 Henry Hub forecast to $3.44, citing these supply dynamics. With only days remaining before month-end, trader-implied odds reflect limited volatility potential absent an unexpected weather shift or storage report surprise, as futures remain well below $3.00 and historical late-summer seasonal weakness persists.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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