Aaron Rodgers' one-year contract with the Pittsburgh Steelers for the 2026 NFL season, combined with his repeated public statements at OTAs and training camp that "this is it" for his 22nd year, anchors the near-certain trader consensus against retirement before the upcoming campaign. At age 42, the four-time MVP has shown no signs of injury concerns or shifting intentions in recent months, and the wisdom of crowds reflected in the 99.3% implied probability on "No" captures the low likelihood of a late scratch or reversal. While an unforeseen health issue or sudden decision could still alter the outcome before kickoff, current roster status and consistent messaging point to him taking the field as planned.