Petr Yan leads trader consensus at 67% implied probability for Merab Dvalishvili's next bantamweight title defense due to their established rivalry and repeated calls for an immediate rematch after Dvalishvili's prior dominant decision victory. Yan's recent confirmations and divisional positioning have reinforced this outlook heading into late 2026 scheduling. Umar Nurmagomedov follows at 38% as the top-ranked contender with strong recent form and a prior title challenge, while Sean O'Malley at 18.9% draws interest from his former championship pedigree and potential stylistic rematch appeal. Lower probabilities for Song Yadong, Cory Sandhagen, and others reflect limited official matchmaking signals or recent activity tying them directly to the champion, with market pricing capturing the wisdom of crowds on these UFC bantamweight dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPetr Yan 67%
Umar Nurmagomedov 36.8%
Song Yadong 4.0%
Sean O'Malley 2.7%
$1,162,369 Vol.
$1,162,369 Vol.
Petr Yan
67%
Umar Nurmagomedov
37%
Song Yadong
4%
Sean O'Malley
18%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Rob Font
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Petr Yan 67%
Umar Nurmagomedov 36.8%
Song Yadong 4.0%
Sean O'Malley 2.7%
$1,162,369 Vol.
$1,162,369 Vol.
Petr Yan
67%
Umar Nurmagomedov
37%
Song Yadong
4%
Sean O'Malley
18%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Rob Font
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan leads trader consensus at 67% implied probability for Merab Dvalishvili's next bantamweight title defense due to their established rivalry and repeated calls for an immediate rematch after Dvalishvili's prior dominant decision victory. Yan's recent confirmations and divisional positioning have reinforced this outlook heading into late 2026 scheduling. Umar Nurmagomedov follows at 38% as the top-ranked contender with strong recent form and a prior title challenge, while Sean O'Malley at 18.9% draws interest from his former championship pedigree and potential stylistic rematch appeal. Lower probabilities for Song Yadong, Cory Sandhagen, and others reflect limited official matchmaking signals or recent activity tying them directly to the champion, with market pricing capturing the wisdom of crowds on these UFC bantamweight dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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