Merab Dvalishvili's unanimous decision loss to Petr Yan at UFC 323 in December 2025 shifted bantamweight title dynamics, establishing the Russian as the new champion and fueling immediate trilogy speculation. Trader consensus heavily favors Yan at 67% implied probability, reflecting the established rivalry, Merab's prior dominant win, and repeated public interest in a rubber match despite Yan's reported medical delays into mid-2026. Umar Nurmagomedov sits second at 35%, buoyed by his status as the top-ranked contender and prior title challenge against Dvalishvili, while Sean O'Malley trails at 29% based on their earlier rematch history. Lower-probability names like Song Yadong reflect standard contender positioning without confirmed matchmaking momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPetr Yan 67%
Umar Nurmagomedov 39.0%
Song Yadong 4.0%
Sean O'Malley 2.7%
$1,162,369 Vol.
$1,162,369 Vol.
Petr Yan
67%
Umar Nurmagomedov
39%
Song Yadong
4%
Sean O'Malley
20%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Rob Font
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Petr Yan 67%
Umar Nurmagomedov 39.0%
Song Yadong 4.0%
Sean O'Malley 2.7%
$1,162,369 Vol.
$1,162,369 Vol.
Petr Yan
67%
Umar Nurmagomedov
39%
Song Yadong
4%
Sean O'Malley
20%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Rob Font
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Merab Dvalishvili's unanimous decision loss to Petr Yan at UFC 323 in December 2025 shifted bantamweight title dynamics, establishing the Russian as the new champion and fueling immediate trilogy speculation. Trader consensus heavily favors Yan at 67% implied probability, reflecting the established rivalry, Merab's prior dominant win, and repeated public interest in a rubber match despite Yan's reported medical delays into mid-2026. Umar Nurmagomedov sits second at 35%, buoyed by his status as the top-ranked contender and prior title challenge against Dvalishvili, while Sean O'Malley trails at 29% based on their earlier rematch history. Lower-probability names like Song Yadong reflect standard contender positioning without confirmed matchmaking momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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