Merab Dvalishvili’s expressed preference for a bantamweight trilogy with Petr Yan drives the leading 66% implied probability, following Yan’s unanimous-decision victory at UFC 323 in December 2025 that evened their head-to-head record. Yan’s post-fight comments about staying active, recent recovery timeline, and reported discussions around an October 2026 date in Abu Dhabi reinforce trader consensus on the matchup. Umar Nurmagomedov sits at 38% on the strength of his prior title challenge and current contender status, though Merab has previously downplayed that rematch. Lower-priced names such as Sean O’Malley reflect past rematch history but lack comparable recent momentum or public interest from either fighter. Market pricing mirrors the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of these confirmed developments and scheduling signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPetr Yan 67%
Umar Nurmagomedov 37.7%
Song Yadong 4.0%
Sean O'Malley 2.7%
$1,162,369 Vol.
$1,162,369 Vol.
Petr Yan
67%
Umar Nurmagomedov
38%
Song Yadong
4%
Sean O'Malley
14%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Rob Font
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Petr Yan 67%
Umar Nurmagomedov 37.7%
Song Yadong 4.0%
Sean O'Malley 2.7%
$1,162,369 Vol.
$1,162,369 Vol.
Petr Yan
67%
Umar Nurmagomedov
38%
Song Yadong
4%
Sean O'Malley
14%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Aiemann Zahabi
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Rob Font
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Merab Dvalishvili’s expressed preference for a bantamweight trilogy with Petr Yan drives the leading 66% implied probability, following Yan’s unanimous-decision victory at UFC 323 in December 2025 that evened their head-to-head record. Yan’s post-fight comments about staying active, recent recovery timeline, and reported discussions around an October 2026 date in Abu Dhabi reinforce trader consensus on the matchup. Umar Nurmagomedov sits at 38% on the strength of his prior title challenge and current contender status, though Merab has previously downplayed that rematch. Lower-priced names such as Sean O’Malley reflect past rematch history but lack comparable recent momentum or public interest from either fighter. Market pricing mirrors the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of these confirmed developments and scheduling signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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