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Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

icon for Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?
Sports·Mma

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

$276,484 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$276,484 Vol.

Polymarket

Aljamain Sterling

$95 Vol.

51%

Ciryl Gane

$1,582 Vol.

49%

Alexandre Pantoja

$1,019 Vol.

47%

Nassourdine Imavov

$0 Vol.

45%

Ian Machado Garry

$758 Vol.

32%

Dricus Du Plessis

$129 Vol.

26%

Charles Oliveira

$80 Vol.

22%

Alexander Volkov

$547 Vol.

10%

Manel Kape

$45,423 Vol.

19%

Sergei Pavlovich

$174 Vol.

11%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$1,254 Vol.

17%

Arman Tsarukyan

$3,207 Vol.

32%

Magomed Ankalaev

$1,280 Vol.

15%

Diego Lopes

$4,951 Vol.

7%

Cory Sandhagen

$259 Vol.

7%

Kamaru Usman

$6,355 Vol.

6%

Yair Rodriguez

$26 Vol.

6%

Shavkat Rakhmonov

$57 Vol.

6%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$1,389 Vol.

5%

Max Holloway

$6 Vol.

25%

Sean O'Malley

$1,434 Vol.

18%

Jiří Procházka

$3,592 Vol.

3%

Belal Muhammad

$354 Vol.

2%

Leon Edwards

$40,890 Vol.

2%

Paddy Pimblett

$4,107 Vol.

20%

Jack Della Maddalena

$49,182 Vol.

2%

Merab Dvalishvili

$1,054 Vol.

44%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several title changes have already reshaped 2026 UFC outcomes, with Justin Gaethje capturing the undisputed lightweight belt via corner stoppage over Ilia Topuria and Sean Strickland regaining the middleweight strap on points against Khamzat Chimaev. Ciryl Gane secured interim heavyweight gold with a second-round TKO of Alex Pereira, while Joshua Van defended the flyweight title. These results, alongside Alexander Volkanovski’s featherweight retention and vacant-belt contests at light heavyweight, have elevated probabilities for fighters with remaining 2026 matchups. Upcoming schedule spots through December, including welterweight unification attempts and potential women’s division shifts, plus any late injuries or pullouts, will determine additional new champions before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$276,484
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several title changes have already reshaped 2026 UFC outcomes, with Justin Gaethje capturing the undisputed lightweight belt via corner stoppage over Ilia Topuria and Sean Strickland regaining the middleweight strap on points against Khamzat Chimaev. Ciryl Gane secured interim heavyweight gold with a second-round TKO of Alex Pereira, while Joshua Van defended the flyweight title. These results, alongside Alexander Volkanovski’s featherweight retention and vacant-belt contests at light heavyweight, have elevated probabilities for fighters with remaining 2026 matchups. Upcoming schedule spots through December, including welterweight unification attempts and potential women’s division shifts, plus any late injuries or pullouts, will determine additional new champions before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$276,484
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sean Strickland" at 100%, followed by "Aljamain Sterling" at 51%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" has generated $276.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is "Sean Strickland" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aljamain Sterling" at 51%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.