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Finance·Tesla

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?

icon for What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?
Finance·Tesla

What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?

NEW
Jul 22, 2026
Polymarket

$2,506 Vol.

Polymarket

Income 10+ times

$156 Vol.

8%

Quarter 10+ times

$126 Vol.

84%

Fiscal 10+ times

$28 Vol.

4%

Car 10+ times

$27 Vol.

96%

Growth 5+ times

$0 Vol.

73%

Software

$516 Vol.

97%

Factory

$130 Vol.

97%

Emission

$82 Vol.

14%

America

$167 Vol.

95%

Texas

$7 Vol.

84%

Optimus

$131 Vol.

97%

China

$100 Vol.

93%

Solar

$195 Vol.

83%

Energy

$100 Vol.

97%

SpaceX

$101 Vol.

56%

Subscription

$27 Vol.

71%

Cybertruck

$207 Vol.

25%

Robot

$45 Vol.

90%

-No Qualifying Event-

$363 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Tesla currently scheduled to take place on July 22, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfTesla's upcoming Q2 2026 earnings call on July 22 follows record deliveries of 480,126 vehicles—well above analyst expectations—and 13.5 GWh of energy storage deployments. Traders are watching for updates on Full Self-Driving v14 progress, including any integration of robotaxi-specific improvements, regulatory timelines for unsupervised operation, and Cybercab production start. Attention also centers on Optimus humanoid robot milestones, such as Gen 3 manufacturing scale-up and commercial customer targets later in 2026. Strong vehicle growth provides a positive backdrop, but commentary on AI hardware investments, gross margins, and 2026 autonomy rollout pace will likely dominate sentiment amid ongoing competition in EVs and self-driving technology.

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Tesla currently scheduled to take place on July 22, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$2,506
End Date
Jul 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Tesla currently scheduled to take place on July 22, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Tesla currently scheduled to take place on July 22, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfTesla's upcoming Q2 2026 earnings call on July 22 follows record deliveries of 480,126 vehicles—well above analyst expectations—and 13.5 GWh of energy storage deployments. Traders are watching for updates on Full Self-Driving v14 progress, including any integration of robotaxi-specific improvements, regulatory timelines for unsupervised operation, and Cybercab production start. Attention also centers on Optimus humanoid robot milestones, such as Gen 3 manufacturing scale-up and commercial customer targets later in 2026. Strong vehicle growth provides a positive backdrop, but commentary on AI hardware investments, gross margins, and 2026 autonomy rollout pace will likely dominate sentiment amid ongoing competition in EVs and self-driving technology.

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Tesla currently scheduled to take place on July 22, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$2,506
End Date
Jul 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Tesla currently scheduled to take place on July 22, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Software" at 97%, followed by "Factory" at 97%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?" is "Software" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Factory" at 97%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.