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Sports·Chess

Titled Tuesday Winner: August 4

icon for Titled Tuesday Winner: August 4
Sports·Chess

Titled Tuesday Winner: August 4

Winner

Top 3

Top 5

Top 8

Winner

Top 3

Top 5

Top 8

Magnus Carlsen 20%

Hikaru Nakamura 11%

Javokhir Sindarov 10%

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 10%

Polymarket
NEW

Magnus Carlsen 20%

Hikaru Nakamura 11%

Javokhir Sindarov 10%

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 10%

Polymarket
NEW

Magnus Carlsen

$27 Vol.

11%

Hikaru Nakamura

$0 Vol.

11%

Javokhir Sindarov

$60 Vol.

10%

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu

$60 Vol.

10%

Awonder Liang

$60 Vol.

10%

Ding Liren

$0 Vol.

6%

Wei Yi

$0 Vol.

6%

Aravindh Chithambaram

$0 Vol.

6%

Alexander Grischuk

$0 Vol.

6%

Benjamin Bok

$0 Vol.

6%

Cristobal Henriquez Villagra

$0 Vol.

6%

Andrey Esipenko

$0 Vol.

6%

Le Tuan Minh

$0 Vol.

6%

Nikolas Theodorou

$0 Vol.

6%

Oleksandr Bortnyk

$0 Vol.

6%

Parham Maghsoodloo

$0 Vol.

6%

Vladislav Artemiev

$0 Vol.

6%

Gukesh Dommaraju

$0 Vol.

6%

Vladimir Fedoseev

$0 Vol.

6%

Christopher Yoo

$0 Vol.

6%

Andrew Tang

$0 Vol.

6%

Denis Lazavik

$0 Vol.

5%

Alireza Firouzja

$0 Vol.

5%

Faustino Oro

$0 Vol.

5%

Frederik Svane

$0 Vol.

5%

Ian Nepomniachtchi

$0 Vol.

5%

Jose Martinez

$0 Vol.

5%

Jeffery Xiong

$0 Vol.

5%

Matthias Bluebaum

$0 Vol.

5%

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

$0 Vol.

5%

Nodirbek Abdusattorov

$0 Vol.

5%

Nihal Sarin

$0 Vol.

5%

Rasmus Svane

$0 Vol.

5%

Sam Sevian

$0 Vol.

5%

Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei

$0 Vol.

5%

Dmitry Andreikin

$0 Vol.

5%

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

$0 Vol.

5%

Vincent Keymer

$60 Vol.

4%

Arjun Erigaisi

$0 Vol.

4%

Sina Movahed

$0 Vol.

4%

Aleksandar Indjic

$0 Vol.

4%

Aleksandr Shimanov

$0 Vol.

4%

Bardiya Daneshvar

$0 Vol.

4%

David Anton

$0 Vol.

4%

Dau Khuong Duy

$0 Vol.

4%

Dincer Tasdogen

$0 Vol.

4%

Haik Martirosyan

$0 Vol.

4%

Hans Niemann

$0 Vol.

4%

Haowen Xue

$0 Vol.

4%

Jules Moussard

$0 Vol.

4%

Pranesh Munirethinam

$0 Vol.

4%

Renato Terry Lujan

$0 Vol.

4%

Rudik Makarian

$0 Vol.

4%

Shamsiddin Vokhidov

$0 Vol.

4%

Volen Dyulgerov

$0 Vol.

4%

Zhamsaran Tsydypov

$0 Vol.

4%

Brandon Jacobson

$0 Vol.

4%

Tuomas Turunen

$0 Vol.

4%

Bogdan-Daniel Deac

$0 Vol.

4%

Pranav Venkatesh

$0 Vol.

4%

Sergey Sklokin

$0 Vol.

4%

Yoseph Theolifus Taher

$0 Vol.

4%

Wesley So

$65 Vol.

4%

Aleksei Sarana

$0 Vol.

4%

Fabiano Caruana

$65 Vol.

4%

Levon Aronian

$65 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura share the highest implied probabilities at 11.5% each for the August 4 Titled Tuesday winner, driven by their elite blitz ratings, proven consistency in weekly Chess.com online events, and strong recent form against elite fields. A broad group trails at 5.5% or lower, reflecting the tournament's wide-open structure with dozens of titled players competing in rapid time controls. Key differentiators include superior head-to-head records in similar formats, higher average scores in prior Titled Tuesdays, and greater familiarity with online platforms compared to over-the-board specialists like Gukesh Dommaraju or Ding Liren. Lower probabilities for the rest of the field stem from variability in recent results, fewer top finishes in high-volume blitz fields, and the inherent unpredictability of single-day Swiss-system events where upsets remain common.

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If this tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$462
End Date
Aug 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:13 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura share the highest implied probabilities at 11.5% each for the August 4 Titled Tuesday winner, driven by their elite blitz ratings, proven consistency in weekly Chess.com online events, and strong recent form against elite fields. A broad group trails at 5.5% or lower, reflecting the tournament's wide-open structure with dozens of titled players competing in rapid time controls. Key differentiators include superior head-to-head records in similar formats, higher average scores in prior Titled Tuesdays, and greater familiarity with online platforms compared to over-the-board specialists like Gukesh Dommaraju or Ding Liren. Lower probabilities for the rest of the field stem from variability in recent results, fewer top finishes in high-volume blitz fields, and the inherent unpredictability of single-day Swiss-system events where upsets remain common.

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If this tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$462
End Date
Aug 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:13 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Titled Tuesday Winner: August 4" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Magnus Carlsen" at 11%, followed by "Hikaru Nakamura" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Titled Tuesday Winner: August 4" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Titled Tuesday Winner: August 4," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Titled Tuesday Winner: August 4" is "Magnus Carlsen" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hikaru Nakamura" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Titled Tuesday Winner: August 4" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.