Radiant maintains a consistent structural edge on the Dota 2 map through superior hill vision control, faster access to neutral camps and the river for movement speed, and easier contesting of key objectives such as the Tormentor. This has translated into higher win rates across professional play, including multiple prior editions of The International where Radiant exceeded 55 percent in group stages and playoffs. Recent patches like 7.38 have widened the gap further to around 54 percent overall, reinforcing trader consensus around the 96.5 percent implied probability for Radiant posting the superior tournament win rate. A major pre-event balance update that symmetrizes terrain, camp pulls, or objective timing could narrow or reverse the disparity, though historical patterns suggest such shifts rarely eliminate the advantage entirely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRadiant 97.0%
Neither 4.6%
Dire 2.5%
Radiant
97%
Neither
5%
Dire
3%
Radiant 97.0%
Neither 4.6%
Dire 2.5%
Radiant
97%
Neither
5%
Dire
3%
Each completed game counts as a win for the listed side whose team won that game. All official games played as part of The International 2026 count toward the total, including the group stage (Road to The International), playoff/main event, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count. Regional and open qualifier games played prior to the main tournament do not count.
This market will resolve to Radiant if Radiant-side teams win more total games than Dire-side teams across the tournament. It will resolve to Dire if Dire-side teams win more total games than Radiant-side teams. It will resolve to Neither if both sides win an equal number of games.
If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final side-win data is not available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game side (Radiant/Dire) and winner data for The International 2026 event. Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026) and Datdota (https://www.datdota.com) may be used as secondary sources. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 10:42 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Each completed game counts as a win for the listed side whose team won that game. All official games played as part of The International 2026 count toward the total, including the group stage (Road to The International), playoff/main event, and any tiebreaker games that produce a result. Games that are not completed — including forfeits, technical remakes that are replayed, or games with no recorded winner — do not count. Regional and open qualifier games played prior to the main tournament do not count.
This market will resolve to Radiant if Radiant-side teams win more total games than Dire-side teams across the tournament. It will resolve to Dire if Dire-side teams win more total games than Radiant-side teams. It will resolve to Neither if both sides win an equal number of games.
If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that the tournament is not completed and final side-win data is not available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com), using its per-game side (Radiant/Dire) and winner data for The International 2026 event. Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026) and Datdota (https://www.datdota.com) may be used as secondary sources. A consensus of credible reporting or publicly available match data may also be used where the primary source is incomplete.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Radiant maintains a consistent structural edge on the Dota 2 map through superior hill vision control, faster access to neutral camps and the river for movement speed, and easier contesting of key objectives such as the Tormentor. This has translated into higher win rates across professional play, including multiple prior editions of The International where Radiant exceeded 55 percent in group stages and playoffs. Recent patches like 7.38 have widened the gap further to around 54 percent overall, reinforcing trader consensus around the 96.5 percent implied probability for Radiant posting the superior tournament win rate. A major pre-event balance update that symmetrizes terrain, camp pulls, or objective timing could narrow or reverse the disparity, though historical patterns suggest such shifts rarely eliminate the advantage entirely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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