Team Liquid holds the narrowest edge at 53% implied probability heading into the Stake Pulse Beat I semifinals, driven by roster reinforcements including Jorko and JT alongside strong group-stage and quarterfinal results against 9INE. The field remains tightly contested because single-elimination Bo3 format amplifies variance among the final four squads—Johnny Speeds, Betclic, and fnatic—each carrying realistic paths through favorable matchups or momentum swings. Recent form, home-region familiarity for Swedish and European squads, and the absence of major upsets so far have kept trader pricing clustered around the 45-53% range for frontrunners, reflecting the unpredictable nature of CS2 playoffs where any contender can advance with sharp execution on the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLiquid 53.0%
fnatic 17%
Betclic 13%
G2 Ares 1.0%
$18,095 Vol.
$18,095 Vol.
Liquid
53%
fnatic
17%
Betclic
13%
G2 Ares
1%
EAC
1%
Acend
<1%
9INE
-
Johnny Speeds
38%
Liquid 53.0%
fnatic 17%
Betclic 13%
G2 Ares 1.0%
$18,095 Vol.
$18,095 Vol.
Liquid
53%
fnatic
17%
Betclic
13%
G2 Ares
1%
EAC
1%
Acend
<1%
9INE
-
Johnny Speeds
38%
If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Black Molly Entertainment / Stake Pulse (https://www.stakepulse.gg); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Black Molly Entertainment / Stake Pulse (https://www.stakepulse.gg); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Team Liquid holds the narrowest edge at 53% implied probability heading into the Stake Pulse Beat I semifinals, driven by roster reinforcements including Jorko and JT alongside strong group-stage and quarterfinal results against 9INE. The field remains tightly contested because single-elimination Bo3 format amplifies variance among the final four squads—Johnny Speeds, Betclic, and fnatic—each carrying realistic paths through favorable matchups or momentum swings. Recent form, home-region familiarity for Swedish and European squads, and the absence of major upsets so far have kept trader pricing clustered around the 45-53% range for frontrunners, reflecting the unpredictable nature of CS2 playoffs where any contender can advance with sharp execution on the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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