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Sports·Chess

Sinquefield Cup Winner

icon for Sinquefield Cup Winner
Sports·Chess

Sinquefield Cup Winner

Fabiano Caruana 26%

Javokhir Sindarov 22%

Wesley So 13%

Vincent Keymer 10%

Polymarket

$15,632 Vol.

Fabiano Caruana 26%

Javokhir Sindarov 22%

Wesley So 13%

Vincent Keymer 10%

Polymarket

$15,632 Vol.

Fabiano Caruana

$2,643 Vol.

26%

Javokhir Sindarov

$1,225 Vol.

22%

Wesley So

$1,471 Vol.

13%

Vincent Keymer

$619 Vol.

10%

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu

$761 Vol.

9%

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

$1,659 Vol.

9%

Anish Giri

$698 Vol.

7%

Levon Aronian

$841 Vol.

6%

Jorden Van Foreest

$893 Vol.

3%

Alireza Firouzja

$4,822 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Sinquefield Cup, currently scheduled for August 8, 2026 to August 21, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Sinquefield Cup 2026 field features a tightly contested classical round-robin among elite grandmasters, with pre-tournament implied probabilities reflecting narrow gaps driven by Elo ratings, recent classical form, and historical results at the Saint Louis Chess Club. Fabiano Caruana leads as the highest-rated participant at 2792, bolstered by consistent performances in prior Grand Chess Tour events and strong home-soil results, while Javokhir Sindarov sits close behind at 2777 amid his rapid rise and solid recent showings. Wesley So, a past winner, Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu, and others remain within striking distance due to the event's small margins and potential for upsets in a nine-round format. Alireza Firouzja's withdrawal and replacement by Samuel Sevian further tightens the field without shifting the consensus significantly.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Sinquefield Cup, currently scheduled for August 8, 2026 to August 21, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,632
End Date
Aug 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 6:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Sinquefield Cup, currently scheduled for August 8, 2026 to August 21, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Sinquefield Cup, currently scheduled for August 8, 2026 to August 21, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Sinquefield Cup 2026 field features a tightly contested classical round-robin among elite grandmasters, with pre-tournament implied probabilities reflecting narrow gaps driven by Elo ratings, recent classical form, and historical results at the Saint Louis Chess Club. Fabiano Caruana leads as the highest-rated participant at 2792, bolstered by consistent performances in prior Grand Chess Tour events and strong home-soil results, while Javokhir Sindarov sits close behind at 2777 amid his rapid rise and solid recent showings. Wesley So, a past winner, Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu, and others remain within striking distance due to the event's small margins and potential for upsets in a nine-round format. Alireza Firouzja's withdrawal and replacement by Samuel Sevian further tightens the field without shifting the consensus significantly.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Sinquefield Cup, currently scheduled for August 8, 2026 to August 21, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,632
End Date
Aug 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 6:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Sinquefield Cup, currently scheduled for August 8, 2026 to August 21, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Grand Chess Tour (https://grandchesstour.org/tours/2026/tournaments/2026-sinquefield-cup/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sinquefield Cup Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fabiano Caruana" at 26%, followed by "Javokhir Sindarov" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Sinquefield Cup Winner" has generated $15.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Sinquefield Cup Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sinquefield Cup Winner" is "Fabiano Caruana" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Javokhir Sindarov" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sinquefield Cup Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.