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icon for Pro Football: Raiders Week 1 Starting QB

Pro Football: Raiders Week 1 Starting QB

icon for Pro Football: Raiders Week 1 Starting QB

Pro Football: Raiders Week 1 Starting QB

Kirk Cousins 90%

Fernando Mendoza 10%

Aidan O'Connell <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Kirk Cousins 90%

Fernando Mendoza 10%

Aidan O'Connell <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Kirk Cousins

$1,263 Vol.

90%

Fernando Mendoza

$139 Vol.

10%

Aidan O'Connell

$96 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the player that takes the first snap at quarterback for the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. In the event two listed quarterbacks take the field on the first offensive play of the Las Vegas Raiders’ Week 1 game, this market will resolve in favor of the player directly receiving the snap. If neither listed quarterback directly receives the snap, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no official starter has taken the field within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kirk Cousins holds a dominant position as the Raiders' Week 1 starting quarterback due to head coach Klint Kubiak's repeated public confirmation that the veteran will open training camp and preseason as QB1, receiving the bulk of first-team reps. Cousins, who signed with Las Vegas to reunite with Kubiak, has operated ahead of first-overall pick Fernando Mendoza and incumbent Aidan O'Connell on the depth chart through early August practices and preseason action. Trader consensus reflects this clear hierarchy and the absence of any reported setbacks. An injury to Cousins during the remainder of camp or a sharp decline in his command of the offense represent the primary paths to a shift, though such developments remain unlikely before the regular-season opener.

This market will resolve according to the player that takes the first snap at quarterback for the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season.

In the event two listed quarterbacks take the field on the first offensive play of the Las Vegas Raiders’ Week 1 game, this market will resolve in favor of the player directly receiving the snap. If neither listed quarterback directly receives the snap, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no official starter has taken the field within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,498
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player that takes the first snap at quarterback for the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. In the event two listed quarterbacks take the field on the first offensive play of the Las Vegas Raiders’ Week 1 game, this market will resolve in favor of the player directly receiving the snap. If neither listed quarterback directly receives the snap, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no official starter has taken the field within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player that takes the first snap at quarterback for the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. In the event two listed quarterbacks take the field on the first offensive play of the Las Vegas Raiders’ Week 1 game, this market will resolve in favor of the player directly receiving the snap. If neither listed quarterback directly receives the snap, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no official starter has taken the field within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kirk Cousins holds a dominant position as the Raiders' Week 1 starting quarterback due to head coach Klint Kubiak's repeated public confirmation that the veteran will open training camp and preseason as QB1, receiving the bulk of first-team reps. Cousins, who signed with Las Vegas to reunite with Kubiak, has operated ahead of first-overall pick Fernando Mendoza and incumbent Aidan O'Connell on the depth chart through early August practices and preseason action. Trader consensus reflects this clear hierarchy and the absence of any reported setbacks. An injury to Cousins during the remainder of camp or a sharp decline in his command of the offense represent the primary paths to a shift, though such developments remain unlikely before the regular-season opener.

This market will resolve according to the player that takes the first snap at quarterback for the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season.

In the event two listed quarterbacks take the field on the first offensive play of the Las Vegas Raiders’ Week 1 game, this market will resolve in favor of the player directly receiving the snap. If neither listed quarterback directly receives the snap, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no official starter has taken the field within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,498
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player that takes the first snap at quarterback for the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. In the event two listed quarterbacks take the field on the first offensive play of the Las Vegas Raiders’ Week 1 game, this market will resolve in favor of the player directly receiving the snap. If neither listed quarterback directly receives the snap, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no official starter has taken the field within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: Raiders Week 1 Starting QB" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kirk Cousins" at 90%, followed by "Fernando Mendoza" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Pro Football: Raiders Week 1 Starting QB" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Pro Football: Raiders Week 1 Starting QB," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: Raiders Week 1 Starting QB" is "Kirk Cousins" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Fernando Mendoza" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: Raiders Week 1 Starting QB" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.