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icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Josh Allen 13%

Lamar Jackson 10%

Drake Maye 9%

Joe Burrow 8.3%

Polymarket

$283,957 Vol.

Josh Allen 13%

Lamar Jackson 10%

Drake Maye 9%

Joe Burrow 8.3%

Polymarket

$283,957 Vol.

Josh Allen

$3,423 Vol.

13%

Lamar Jackson

$20,084 Vol.

10%

Drake Maye

$5,459 Vol.

9%

Joe Burrow

$8,298 Vol.

8%

Justin Herbert

$2,282 Vol.

8%

Matthew Stafford

$2,320 Vol.

8%

Patrick Mahomes

$613 Vol.

8%

Caleb Williams

$4,838 Vol.

7%

Dak Prescott

$739 Vol.

6%

Brock Purdy

$2,692 Vol.

5%

Jordan Love

$424 Vol.

5%

Trevor Lawrence

$62 Vol.

3%

Jalen Hurts

$2,389 Vol.

3%

Sam Darnold

$1,759 Vol.

2%

Bo Nix

$971 Vol.

2%

Baker Mayfield

$99,504 Vol.

2%

Jared Goff

$107 Vol.

2%

Jaxson Dart

$1,202 Vol.

1%

Christian McCaffrey

$1,371 Vol.

1%

Saquon Barkley

$116,306 Vol.

1%

Justin Jefferson

$4,080 Vol.

1%

Jaxson Smith-Njigba

$1,655 Vol.

1%

Jahmyr Gibbs

$567 Vol.

1%

Myles Garrett

$1,189 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Henry

$116 Vol.

<1%

De'Von Achane

$1,506 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Entering the 2026 NFL training camp period, the MVP market remains tightly bunched because multiple quarterbacks enter with comparable profiles for regular-season dominance: proven production, supporting talent, and favorable team outlooks. Josh Allen leads at 12.5% on the strength of consistent volume and efficiency in a high-powered Bills offense, while Lamar Jackson (9.5%) and Drake Maye (8.5%) sit close behind due to dual-threat impact and recent statistical surges, respectively. Joe Burrow, Matthew Stafford, Justin Herbert, Patrick Mahomes, and Caleb Williams cluster in the 7–8.5% range amid expectations of healthy starts, favorable schedules, and offensive continuity. This parity reflects league-wide balance, with no single candidate holding a decisive edge before pads go on and early results clarify trajectories.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$283,957
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Entering the 2026 NFL training camp period, the MVP market remains tightly bunched because multiple quarterbacks enter with comparable profiles for regular-season dominance: proven production, supporting talent, and favorable team outlooks. Josh Allen leads at 12.5% on the strength of consistent volume and efficiency in a high-powered Bills offense, while Lamar Jackson (9.5%) and Drake Maye (8.5%) sit close behind due to dual-threat impact and recent statistical surges, respectively. Joe Burrow, Matthew Stafford, Justin Herbert, Patrick Mahomes, and Caleb Williams cluster in the 7–8.5% range amid expectations of healthy starts, favorable schedules, and offensive continuity. This parity reflects league-wide balance, with no single candidate holding a decisive edge before pads go on and early results clarify trajectories.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$283,957
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Josh Allen" at 13%, followed by "Lamar Jackson" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" has generated $284K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is "Josh Allen" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lamar Jackson" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.