**Mixed critical reception and limited pre-release tracking have anchored trader expectations for Onslaught’s domestic opening weekend around the 2-3 million range.** Adam Wingard’s return to intimate action-horror after larger-scale MonsterVerse entries arrives via A24 on Labor Day weekend with a reported $15 million budget and an ensemble led by Adria Arjona and Dan Stevens, yet early reviews cite stylish gore offset by thin narrative payoff, producing a mixed-to-average aggregate around 54-60 on major platforms. This positioning aligns with typical A24 mid-tier genre launches rather than breakout event status, especially amid a post-summer lull and without strong franchise momentum or star-driven presales. The market assigns only marginal probability to higher brackets, reflecting the absence of breakout indicators in the first days of release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office
2-3m 70%
<2m 30%
3-4m <1%
5-6m <1%
$12,891 Vol.
$12,891 Vol.
<2m
30%
2-3m
70%
3-4m
1%
4-5m
<1%
5-6m
1%
6m+
<1%
2-3m 70%
<2m 30%
3-4m <1%
5-6m <1%
$12,891 Vol.
$12,891 Vol.
<2m
30%
2-3m
70%
3-4m
1%
4-5m
<1%
5-6m
1%
6m+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mixed critical reception and limited pre-release tracking have anchored trader expectations for Onslaught’s domestic opening weekend around the 2-3 million range.** Adam Wingard’s return to intimate action-horror after larger-scale MonsterVerse entries arrives via A24 on Labor Day weekend with a reported $15 million budget and an ensemble led by Adria Arjona and Dan Stevens, yet early reviews cite stylish gore offset by thin narrative payoff, producing a mixed-to-average aggregate around 54-60 on major platforms. This positioning aligns with typical A24 mid-tier genre launches rather than breakout event status, especially amid a post-summer lull and without strong franchise momentum or star-driven presales. The market assigns only marginal probability to higher brackets, reflecting the absence of breakout indicators in the first days of release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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