The 2026 NCAA football season opens in late August with win totals reflecting deep rosters in the Big Ten and Notre Dame's independent schedule, where teams like Oregon, Ohio State, and Indiana project toward 10-plus wins amid strong returning talent and transfer portal additions. Expanded nine-game SEC schedules have capped projections for Georgia and Texas near 9.5, heightening the impact of conference depth. Spring practices and early recruiting updates have clarified key X-factors such as quarterback stability and defensive line depth, while coaching changes at Arkansas and Utah introduce variables for rebound or regression candidates. Nonconference strength, bye timing, and injury reports through fall camp remain primary swing factors for totals across power conferences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGeorgia 9.5+
65%
Texas Tech 10.5+
64%
Ole Miss 7.5+
62%
Boise State 7.5+
62%
Oregon State 3.5+
61%
Kansas 5.5+
61%
West Virginia 5.5+
60%
Colorado State 3.5+
59%
Virginia Tech 6.5+
59%
Arkansas 3.5+
58%
BYU 8.5+
58%
Oklahoma 7.5+
57%
Fresno State 6.5+
57%
Miami FL 10.5+
56%
TCU 7.5+
56%
Utah 8.5+
56%
Iowa State 4.5+
56%
Kentucky 4.5+
56%
Pittsburgh 7.5+
56%
UCF 5.5+
56%
Duke 5.5+
56%
Vanderbilt 5.5+
55%
Clemson 7.5+
55%
Utah State 4.5+
55%
Wake Forest 5.5+
55%
Rutgers 4.5+
54%
Virginia 7.5+
54%
Alabama 8.5+
54%
Iowa 7.5+
54%
Mississippi State 4.5+
53%
Ohio State 10.5+
53%
Arizona State 6.5+
53%
Wisconsin 6.5+
52%
Stanford 3.5+
52%
Northwestern 5.5+
52%
Tennessee 7.5+
51%
Missouri 6.5+
51%
North Carolina 4.5+
51%
Oklahoma State 6.5+
50%
LSU 8.5+
50%
SMU 8.5+
48%
Texas A&M 8.5+
48%
Kansas State 8.5+
48%
South Carolina 6.5+
48%
Auburn 6.5+
48%
Illinois 7.5+
47%
Indiana 10.5+
47%
Boston College 3.5+
47%
NC State 7.5+
46%
Florida 7.5+
46%
Penn State 9.5+
45%
Oregon 10.5+
45%
Georgia Tech 6.5+
45%
Arizona 7.5+
45%
Louisville 8.5+
45%
Nebraska 6.5+
45%
UCLA 6.5+
45%
Texas 9.5+
45%
Purdue 3.5+
44%
USC 8.5+
44%
Syracuse 4.5+
44%
California 6.5+
44%
San Diego State 7.5+
43%
Michigan 8.5+
43%
Cincinnati 5.5+
43%
Minnesota 6.5+
42%
Texas State 6.5+
42%
Colorado 4.5+
42%
Maryland 5.5+
41%
Baylor 6.5+
40%
Michigan State 4.5+
39%
Florida State 6.5+
39%
Washington State 5.5+
38%
Washington 8.5+
41%
Houston 8.5+
34%
Notre Dame 11.5+
32%
$2,492 Vol.
Georgia 9.5+
65%
Texas Tech 10.5+
64%
Ole Miss 7.5+
62%
Boise State 7.5+
62%
Oregon State 3.5+
61%
Kansas 5.5+
61%
West Virginia 5.5+
60%
Colorado State 3.5+
59%
Virginia Tech 6.5+
59%
Arkansas 3.5+
58%
BYU 8.5+
58%
Oklahoma 7.5+
57%
Fresno State 6.5+
57%
Miami FL 10.5+
56%
TCU 7.5+
56%
Utah 8.5+
56%
Iowa State 4.5+
56%
Kentucky 4.5+
56%
Pittsburgh 7.5+
56%
UCF 5.5+
56%
Duke 5.5+
56%
Vanderbilt 5.5+
55%
Clemson 7.5+
55%
Utah State 4.5+
55%
Wake Forest 5.5+
55%
Rutgers 4.5+
54%
Virginia 7.5+
54%
Alabama 8.5+
54%
Iowa 7.5+
54%
Mississippi State 4.5+
53%
Ohio State 10.5+
53%
Arizona State 6.5+
53%
Wisconsin 6.5+
52%
Stanford 3.5+
52%
Northwestern 5.5+
52%
Tennessee 7.5+
51%
Missouri 6.5+
51%
North Carolina 4.5+
51%
Oklahoma State 6.5+
50%
LSU 8.5+
50%
SMU 8.5+
48%
Texas A&M 8.5+
48%
Kansas State 8.5+
48%
South Carolina 6.5+
48%
Auburn 6.5+
48%
Illinois 7.5+
47%
Indiana 10.5+
47%
Boston College 3.5+
47%
NC State 7.5+
46%
Florida 7.5+
46%
Penn State 9.5+
45%
Oregon 10.5+
45%
Georgia Tech 6.5+
45%
Arizona 7.5+
45%
Louisville 8.5+
45%
Nebraska 6.5+
45%
UCLA 6.5+
45%
Texas 9.5+
45%
Purdue 3.5+
44%
USC 8.5+
44%
Syracuse 4.5+
44%
California 6.5+
44%
San Diego State 7.5+
43%
Michigan 8.5+
43%
Cincinnati 5.5+
43%
Minnesota 6.5+
42%
Texas State 6.5+
42%
Colorado 4.5+
42%
Maryland 5.5+
41%
Baylor 6.5+
40%
Michigan State 4.5+
39%
Florida State 6.5+
39%
Washington State 5.5+
38%
Washington 8.5+
41%
Houston 8.5+
34%
Notre Dame 11.5+
32%
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such, Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such, Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 NCAA football season opens in late August with win totals reflecting deep rosters in the Big Ten and Notre Dame's independent schedule, where teams like Oregon, Ohio State, and Indiana project toward 10-plus wins amid strong returning talent and transfer portal additions. Expanded nine-game SEC schedules have capped projections for Georgia and Texas near 9.5, heightening the impact of conference depth. Spring practices and early recruiting updates have clarified key X-factors such as quarterback stability and defensive line depth, while coaching changes at Arkansas and Utah introduce variables for rebound or regression candidates. Nonconference strength, bye timing, and injury reports through fall camp remain primary swing factors for totals across power conferences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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