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Sports·Nascar

NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner

icon for NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner
Sports·Nascar

NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner

AJ Allmendinger 97%

Austin Dillon 97%

Ricky Stenhouse Jr 97%

Denny Hamlin 97%

Polymarket
NEW

AJ Allmendinger 97%

Austin Dillon 97%

Ricky Stenhouse Jr 97%

Denny Hamlin 97%

Polymarket
NEW

AJ Allmendinger

$0 Vol.

97%

Austin Dillon

$0 Vol.

97%

Ricky Stenhouse Jr

$0 Vol.

97%

Denny Hamlin

$0 Vol.

97%

Joey Logano

$0 Vol.

97%

Chase Elliott

$0 Vol.

97%

Ryan Blaney

$0 Vol.

97%

Chris Buescher

$0 Vol.

97%

Michael McDowell

$0 Vol.

97%

Ty Dillon

$0 Vol.

97%

Daniel Suarez

$0 Vol.

97%

Erik Jones

$0 Vol.

97%

Darrell Wallace Jr

$0 Vol.

97%

Ryan Preece

$0 Vol.

97%

Ross Chastain

$0 Vol.

97%

Cody Ware

$0 Vol.

97%

Cole Custer

$0 Vol.

97%

Alex Bowman

$0 Vol.

97%

Christopher Bell

$0 Vol.

97%

Tyler Reddick

$0 Vol.

97%

William Byron

$0 Vol.

97%

Austin Hill

$0 Vol.

97%

Josh Berry

$0 Vol.

97%

Austin Cindric

$0 Vol.

97%

Noah Gragson

$0 Vol.

97%

Chase Briscoe

$0 Vol.

97%

Chad Finchum

$0 Vol.

97%

Riley Herbst

$0 Vol.

97%

Zane Smith

$0 Vol.

97%

Carson Hocevar

$0 Vol.

97%

Ty Gibbs

$0 Vol.

97%

Shane Van Gisbergen

$0 Vol.

97%

Connor Zilisch

$0 Vol.

97%

Brad Keselowski

$1 Vol.

96%

Kyle Larson

$0 Vol.

96%

Todd Gilliland

$0 Vol.

91%

Corey Heim

$0 Vol.

90%

John Hunter Nemechek

$0 Vol.

88%

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The tightly bunched probabilities around 49% across dozens of drivers for the Cook Out Southern 500 reflect Darlington Raceway’s historic volatility as the “Track Too Tough to Tame” and the high-stakes playoff opener on September 6. Multiple contenders enter with proven track records—Denny Hamlin’s five prior wins and regular-season dominance, Chase Briscoe’s back-to-back victories in the event, plus strong recent form from Tyler Reddick, Kyle Larson, William Byron, and Christopher Bell—while Hendrick, Joe Gibbs, and Penske organizations field deep lineups. The 38-car field, including open entries, combined with playoff reset dynamics and the track’s demanding handling requirements, sustains broad trader consensus that no single driver holds a decisive edge heading into qualifying and the 367-lap race.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026.

If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$1
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The tightly bunched probabilities around 49% across dozens of drivers for the Cook Out Southern 500 reflect Darlington Raceway’s historic volatility as the “Track Too Tough to Tame” and the high-stakes playoff opener on September 6. Multiple contenders enter with proven track records—Denny Hamlin’s five prior wins and regular-season dominance, Chase Briscoe’s back-to-back victories in the event, plus strong recent form from Tyler Reddick, Kyle Larson, William Byron, and Christopher Bell—while Hendrick, Joe Gibbs, and Penske organizations field deep lineups. The 38-car field, including open entries, combined with playoff reset dynamics and the track’s demanding handling requirements, sustains broad trader consensus that no single driver holds a decisive edge heading into qualifying and the 367-lap race.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026.

If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$1
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 38 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "AJ Allmendinger" at 49%, followed by "Austin Dillon" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner," browse the 38 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner" is "AJ Allmendinger" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Austin Dillon" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.