Inter Miami CF holds the top implied probability at 18.5% largely due to Lionel Messi's continued scoring impact and a potent attack that has kept the club near the top of the Eastern Conference standings midway through the 2026 regular season. Vancouver Whitecaps FC sits second in market pricing at 11.7% on the strength of a strong Western Conference record and defensive organization, while Nashville SC follows closely behind amid its own conference-leading points haul. The field remains tightly bunched because no single club has separated itself after roughly 15 matches, with solid form from several contenders, balanced conference races, and the long path through the remainder of the regular season and MLS Cup playoffs leaving ample room for shifts in momentum or injuries to alter trajectories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedInter Miami CF 27%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 14.6%
Los Angeles FC 9%
Nashville SC 8.3%
$19,421,555 Vol.
$19,421,555 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
27%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
15%
Los Angeles FC
9%
Nashville SC
8%
Chicago Fire FC
6%
FC Cincinnati
4%
San Jose Earthquakes
4%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
New York City FC
2%
San Diego FC
2%
Houston Dynamo FC
2%
LA Galaxy
2%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Real Salt Lake
2%
Charlotte FC
1%
Columbus Crew
1%
New England Revolution
1%
Sporting Kansas City
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
D.C. United
1%
Orlando City SC
1%
Toronto FC
1%
FC Dallas
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
St. Louis City SC
<1%
Portland Timbers
<1%
Colorado Rapids
<1%
Austin FC
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Philadelphia Union
<1%
Inter Miami CF 27%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 14.6%
Los Angeles FC 9%
Nashville SC 8.3%
$19,421,555 Vol.
$19,421,555 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
27%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
15%
Los Angeles FC
9%
Nashville SC
8%
Chicago Fire FC
6%
FC Cincinnati
4%
San Jose Earthquakes
4%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
New York City FC
2%
San Diego FC
2%
Houston Dynamo FC
2%
LA Galaxy
2%
New York Red Bulls
2%
Real Salt Lake
2%
Charlotte FC
1%
Columbus Crew
1%
New England Revolution
1%
Sporting Kansas City
1%
Minnesota United FC
1%
D.C. United
1%
Orlando City SC
1%
Toronto FC
1%
FC Dallas
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
St. Louis City SC
<1%
Portland Timbers
<1%
Colorado Rapids
<1%
Austin FC
<1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Philadelphia Union
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Inter Miami CF holds the top implied probability at 18.5% largely due to Lionel Messi's continued scoring impact and a potent attack that has kept the club near the top of the Eastern Conference standings midway through the 2026 regular season. Vancouver Whitecaps FC sits second in market pricing at 11.7% on the strength of a strong Western Conference record and defensive organization, while Nashville SC follows closely behind amid its own conference-leading points haul. The field remains tightly bunched because no single club has separated itself after roughly 15 matches, with solid form from several contenders, balanced conference races, and the long path through the remainder of the regular season and MLS Cup playoffs leaving ample room for shifts in momentum or injuries to alter trajectories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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