Zack Wheeler leads NL Comeback Player of the Year trader consensus after missing the end of 2025 with thoracic outlet syndrome and subsequent rib surgery, then posting dominant 2026 numbers including an 8-1 record, sub-2.10 ERA, and elite WHIP through midseason starts for the Phillies. His velocity and command have matched pre-injury levels, solidifying his edge in the BBWAA vote. Sandy Alcantara sits second following Tommy John recovery and a bounce-back campaign with 13 wins and a 3.43 ERA, though he trails Wheeler in overall impact. Michael Harris II and Brandon Woodruff remain longer shots based on prior injury absences and more modest 2026 production, while the field shows limited movement absent major late surges or roster shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZack Wheeler 70%
Michael Harris II 11.3%
Sandy Alcantara 11%
Brandon Woodruff 4.8%
$148,823 Vol.
$148,823 Vol.
Zack Wheeler
70%
Michael Harris II
11%
Sandy Alcantara
14%
Brandon Woodruff
5%
Tanner Scott
3%
Porter Hodge
1%
Ezequiel Tovar
1%
O'Neil Cruz
1%
Shota Imanaga
1%
Sean Manaea
1%
Zack Wheeler 70%
Michael Harris II 11.3%
Sandy Alcantara 11%
Brandon Woodruff 4.8%
$148,823 Vol.
$148,823 Vol.
Zack Wheeler
70%
Michael Harris II
11%
Sandy Alcantara
14%
Brandon Woodruff
5%
Tanner Scott
3%
Porter Hodge
1%
Ezequiel Tovar
1%
O'Neil Cruz
1%
Shota Imanaga
1%
Sean Manaea
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Zack Wheeler leads NL Comeback Player of the Year trader consensus after missing the end of 2025 with thoracic outlet syndrome and subsequent rib surgery, then posting dominant 2026 numbers including an 8-1 record, sub-2.10 ERA, and elite WHIP through midseason starts for the Phillies. His velocity and command have matched pre-injury levels, solidifying his edge in the BBWAA vote. Sandy Alcantara sits second following Tommy John recovery and a bounce-back campaign with 13 wins and a 3.43 ERA, though he trails Wheeler in overall impact. Michael Harris II and Brandon Woodruff remain longer shots based on prior injury absences and more modest 2026 production, while the field shows limited movement absent major late surges or roster shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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