Kyle Schwarber holds the top spot in the MLB home run race with 37 long balls as of mid-August 2026, ahead of Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson at 36 each and Junior Caminero at 35, fueling his 35.5% implied probability as the consensus leader among traders. Alvarez's elite .321 average, on-base skills, and recent solo shot on August 14 bolster his 27% positioning despite fewer at-bats in some stretches. Caminero's breakout power surge at age 23 and 15.8% odds reflect his rising trajectory and consistent production in the Rays lineup. Olson's steady output and Ben Rice's climb to around 33 homers add depth to the market, while lower-probability names like Munetaka Murakami trail due to limited volume and slower recent pacing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKyle Schwarber 36%
Yordan Alvarez 27.0%
Junior Caminero 15.8%
Matt Olson 5.4%
$3,132,476 Vol.
$3,132,476 Vol.
Oct 11, 2026
Kyle Schwarber
36%
Yordan Alvarez
27%
Junior Caminero
16%
Matt Olson
13%
Ben Rice
6%
Munetaka Murakami
1%
James Wood
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Aaron Judge
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 36%
Yordan Alvarez 27.0%
Junior Caminero 15.8%
Matt Olson 5.4%
$3,132,476 Vol.
$3,132,476 Vol.
Oct 11, 2026
Kyle Schwarber
$23,170 Vol.
36%
Yordan Alvarez
$9,750 Vol.
27%
Junior Caminero
$1,934 Vol.
16%
Matt Olson
$2,134 Vol.
13%
Ben Rice
$1,369 Vol.
6%
Munetaka Murakami
$7,826 Vol.
1%
James Wood
$2,554 Vol.
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
$611 Vol.
1%
Juan Soto
$647,920 Vol.
<1%
Mike Trout
$1,748,006 Vol.
<1%
Aaron Judge
$4,680 Vol.
<1%
George Springer
$508 Vol.
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
$674 Vol.
<1%
Sal Stewart
$650 Vol.
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
$886 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Walker
$606 Vol.
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
$611 Vol.
<1%
Brandon Lowe
$469,800 Vol.
<1%
CJ Abrams
$203,669 Vol.
<1%
Cal Raleigh
$704 Vol.
<1%
Pete Alonso
$410 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Devers
$631 Vol.
<1%
Nick Kurtz
$1,488 Vol.
<1%
Shea Langeliers
$1,341 Vol.
<1%
Manny Machado
$547 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds the top spot in the MLB home run race with 37 long balls as of mid-August 2026, ahead of Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson at 36 each and Junior Caminero at 35, fueling his 35.5% implied probability as the consensus leader among traders. Alvarez's elite .321 average, on-base skills, and recent solo shot on August 14 bolster his 27% positioning despite fewer at-bats in some stretches. Caminero's breakout power surge at age 23 and 15.8% odds reflect his rising trajectory and consistent production in the Rays lineup. Olson's steady output and Ben Rice's climb to around 33 homers add depth to the market, while lower-probability names like Munetaka Murakami trail due to limited volume and slower recent pacing.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Volume
$3,132,476End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber holds the top spot in the MLB home run race with 37 long balls as of mid-August 2026, ahead of Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson at 36 each and Junior Caminero at 35, fueling his 35.5% implied probability as the consensus leader among traders. Alvarez's elite .321 average, on-base skills, and recent solo shot on August 14 bolster his 27% positioning despite fewer at-bats in some stretches. Caminero's breakout power surge at age 23 and 15.8% odds reflect his rising trajectory and consistent production in the Rays lineup. Olson's steady output and Ben Rice's climb to around 33 homers add depth to the market, while lower-probability names like Munetaka Murakami trail due to limited volume and slower recent pacing.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,132,476End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber holds the top spot in the MLB home run race with 37 long balls as of mid-August 2026, ahead of Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson at 36 each and Junior Caminero at 35, fueling his 35.5% implied probability as the consensus leader among traders. Alvarez's elite .321 average, on-base skills, and recent solo shot on August 14 bolster his 27% positioning despite fewer at-bats in some stretches. Caminero's breakout power surge at age 23 and 15.8% odds reflect his rising trajectory and consistent production in the Rays lineup. Olson's steady output and Ben Rice's climb to around 33 homers add depth to the market, while lower-probability names like Munetaka Murakami trail due to limited volume and slower recent pacing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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