Pete Crow-Armstrong has surged to overwhelming 2026 NL MVP favorite status through a historic five-tool season for the Cubs, leading MLB in fWAR and bWAR while posting a .280/.375/.570 slash line with 39 home runs, 33 stolen bases, and elite center-field defense measured by outs above average. His consistent production, including multiple multi-homer games and a 30-30 pace, has outpaced Shohei Ohtani, whose value has been capped by a knee injury that sidelined him from the mound since early July and limited him to DH duties. Trader consensus prices reflect this gap, with Ohtani a distant second. A strong September return to pitching by Ohtani or a late injury to Crow-Armstrong could narrow the margin before BBWAA voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPete Crow-Armstrong 92.7%
Shohei Ohtani 6%
Juan Soto <1%
Fernando Tatis Jr. <1%
$1,312,481 Vol.
$1,312,481 Vol.
Pete Crow-Armstrong
93%
Shohei Ohtani
6%
Juan Soto
<1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
<1%
Mookie Betts
<1%
Bryce Harper
<1%
Kyle Tucker
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
<1%
Andy Pages
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
Kyle Schwarber
<1%
James Wood
<1%
Jacob Misiorowski
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Otto Lopez
<1%
Matt Olson
<1%
Pete Crow-Armstrong 92.7%
Shohei Ohtani 6%
Juan Soto <1%
Fernando Tatis Jr. <1%
$1,312,481 Vol.
$1,312,481 Vol.
Pete Crow-Armstrong
93%
Shohei Ohtani
6%
Juan Soto
<1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
<1%
Mookie Betts
<1%
Bryce Harper
<1%
Kyle Tucker
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Francisco Lindor
<1%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
<1%
Andy Pages
<1%
Corbin Carroll
<1%
Kyle Schwarber
<1%
James Wood
<1%
Jacob Misiorowski
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Otto Lopez
<1%
Matt Olson
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Pete Crow-Armstrong has surged to overwhelming 2026 NL MVP favorite status through a historic five-tool season for the Cubs, leading MLB in fWAR and bWAR while posting a .280/.375/.570 slash line with 39 home runs, 33 stolen bases, and elite center-field defense measured by outs above average. His consistent production, including multiple multi-homer games and a 30-30 pace, has outpaced Shohei Ohtani, whose value has been capped by a knee injury that sidelined him from the mound since early July and limited him to DH duties. Trader consensus prices reflect this gap, with Ohtani a distant second. A strong September return to pitching by Ohtani or a late injury to Crow-Armstrong could narrow the margin before BBWAA voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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