Ohtani leads the tight NL Hank Aaron Award market at 24.5% implied probability due to his elite two-way production, including a .289 average, 27 home runs, and strong on-base skills while also excelling on the mound. Pete Crow-Armstrong sits close behind at 20.4% on the strength of his breakout power surge, improved plate discipline, and defensive impact in center field for the Cubs. Kyle Schwarber holds 15.3% amid consistent extra-base production as a veteran slugger. The bunched top tier reflects a wide-open offensive race with several qualifiers posting comparable slash lines, home run totals, and RBIs through mid-August, where late-season hot streaks, injury recoveries, or team contexts could still shift the leader.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner
MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner
Shohei Ohtani 25%
Pete Crow-Armstrong 20.5%
Kyle Schwarber 15.3%
Bryce Harper 3.6%
$149,498 Vol.
$149,498 Vol.
Nov 13, 2026
Shohei Ohtani
25%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
20%
Kyle Schwarber
15%
Bryce Harper
4%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
2%
Francisco Lindor
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
7%
Ketel Marte
1%
Mookie Betts
1%
Shohei Ohtani 25%
Pete Crow-Armstrong 20.5%
Kyle Schwarber 15.3%
Bryce Harper 3.6%
$149,498 Vol.
$149,498 Vol.
Nov 13, 2026
Shohei Ohtani
$11,677 Vol.
25%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
$4,098 Vol.
20%
Kyle Schwarber
$94,128 Vol.
15%
Bryce Harper
$1,431 Vol.
4%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
$998 Vol.
2%
Francisco Lindor
$1,023 Vol.
1%
Juan Soto
$35,395 Vol.
1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
$256 Vol.
7%
Ketel Marte
$229 Vol.
1%
Mookie Betts
$265 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ohtani leads the tight NL Hank Aaron Award market at 24.5% implied probability due to his elite two-way production, including a .289 average, 27 home runs, and strong on-base skills while also excelling on the mound. Pete Crow-Armstrong sits close behind at 20.4% on the strength of his breakout power surge, improved plate discipline, and defensive impact in center field for the Cubs. Kyle Schwarber holds 15.3% amid consistent extra-base production as a veteran slugger. The bunched top tier reflects a wide-open offensive race with several qualifiers posting comparable slash lines, home run totals, and RBIs through mid-August, where late-season hot streaks, injury recoveries, or team contexts could still shift the leader.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Volume
$149,498End Date
Nov 13, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ohtani leads the tight NL Hank Aaron Award market at 24.5% implied probability due to his elite two-way production, including a .289 average, 27 home runs, and strong on-base skills while also excelling on the mound. Pete Crow-Armstrong sits close behind at 20.4% on the strength of his breakout power surge, improved plate discipline, and defensive impact in center field for the Cubs. Kyle Schwarber holds 15.3% amid consistent extra-base production as a veteran slugger. The bunched top tier reflects a wide-open offensive race with several qualifiers posting comparable slash lines, home run totals, and RBIs through mid-August, where late-season hot streaks, injury recoveries, or team contexts could still shift the leader.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$149,498End Date
Nov 13, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ohtani leads the tight NL Hank Aaron Award market at 24.5% implied probability due to his elite two-way production, including a .289 average, 27 home runs, and strong on-base skills while also excelling on the mound. Pete Crow-Armstrong sits close behind at 20.4% on the strength of his breakout power surge, improved plate discipline, and defensive impact in center field for the Cubs. Kyle Schwarber holds 15.3% amid consistent extra-base production as a veteran slugger. The bunched top tier reflects a wide-open offensive race with several qualifiers posting comparable slash lines, home run totals, and RBIs through mid-August, where late-season hot streaks, injury recoveries, or team contexts could still shift the leader.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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