Federico Arnaboldi enters the M25 Fano clay-court matchup as the clear favorite against fellow Italian Niccolo Ciavarella, backed by his higher ranking near 527 and No. 4 seeding in the draw. The 26-year-old has compiled stronger results on the ITF circuit, including a three-set victory over Ciavarella on clay just weeks earlier in Bergamo. Ciavarella, ranked outside the top 900, faces a significant step up in competition level and recently dropped a straight-sets match in another M25 event. Both players share similar nationality and surface preference, yet Arnaboldi’s greater experience and consistent form on red clay create a wide gap reflected in trader pricing for the August 5 encounter. Late withdrawals or physical issues remain the primary variables that could shift outcomes in lower-tier ITF singles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated10h 23m 26s
Aug 4·8:00 AM
F. Arnaboldi-
N. Ciavarella-
$0.00 Vol.
NEW
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Men Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Federico Arnaboldi' if Federico Arnaboldi advances against Niccolo Ciavarella.
This market will resolve to 'Niccolo Ciavarella' if Niccolo Ciavarella advances against Federico Arnaboldi.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Men Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Arnaboldi” if Federico Arnaboldi wins the first set. It will resolve to “Ciavarella” if Niccolo Ciavarella wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Arnaboldi” if Federico Arnaboldi wins set 2. It will resolve to “Ciavarella” if Niccolo Ciavarella wins set 2.
If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Arnaboldi" if Federico Arnaboldi wins by 2 or more sets than Niccolo Ciavarella, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Ciavarella."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Niccolo Ciavarella and Federico Arnaboldi in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Ciavarella" if Niccolo Ciavarella wins by 2 or more sets than Federico Arnaboldi, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arnaboldi."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.Federico Arnaboldi enters the M25 Fano clay-court matchup as the clear favorite against fellow Italian Niccolo Ciavarella, backed by his higher ranking near 527 and No. 4 seeding in the draw. The 26-year-old has compiled stronger results on the ITF circuit, including a three-set victory over Ciavarella on clay just weeks earlier in Bergamo. Ciavarella, ranked outside the top 900, faces a significant step up in competition level and recently dropped a straight-sets match in another M25 event. Both players share similar nationality and surface preference, yet Arnaboldi’s greater experience and consistent form on red clay create a wide gap reflected in trader pricing for the August 5 encounter. Late withdrawals or physical issues remain the primary variables that could shift outcomes in lower-tier ITF singles.
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Men Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Federico Arnaboldi' if Federico Arnaboldi advances against Niccolo Ciavarella.
This market will resolve to 'Niccolo Ciavarella' if Niccolo Ciavarella advances against Federico Arnaboldi.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Federico Arnaboldi' if Federico Arnaboldi advances against Niccolo Ciavarella.
This market will resolve to 'Niccolo Ciavarella' if Niccolo Ciavarella advances against Federico Arnaboldi.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 9:34 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/Resolver
0x65070BE91...10h 23m 26s
Aug 4·8:00 AM
F. Arnaboldi-
N. Ciavarella-
$0.00 Vol.
NEW
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Men Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Federico Arnaboldi' if Federico Arnaboldi advances against Niccolo Ciavarella.
This market will resolve to 'Niccolo Ciavarella' if Niccolo Ciavarella advances against Federico Arnaboldi.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Men Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Arnaboldi” if Federico Arnaboldi wins the first set. It will resolve to “Ciavarella” if Niccolo Ciavarella wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Arnaboldi” if Federico Arnaboldi wins set 2. It will resolve to “Ciavarella” if Niccolo Ciavarella wins set 2.
If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Arnaboldi" if Federico Arnaboldi wins by 2 or more sets than Niccolo Ciavarella, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Ciavarella."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Niccolo Ciavarella and Federico Arnaboldi in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Ciavarella" if Niccolo Ciavarella wins by 2 or more sets than Federico Arnaboldi, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arnaboldi."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.Federico Arnaboldi enters the M25 Fano clay-court matchup as the clear favorite against fellow Italian Niccolo Ciavarella, backed by his higher ranking near 527 and No. 4 seeding in the draw. The 26-year-old has compiled stronger results on the ITF circuit, including a three-set victory over Ciavarella on clay just weeks earlier in Bergamo. Ciavarella, ranked outside the top 900, faces a significant step up in competition level and recently dropped a straight-sets match in another M25 event. Both players share similar nationality and surface preference, yet Arnaboldi’s greater experience and consistent form on red clay create a wide gap reflected in trader pricing for the August 5 encounter. Late withdrawals or physical issues remain the primary variables that could shift outcomes in lower-tier ITF singles.
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Niccolo Ciavarella in the ITF Men Fano, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Federico Arnaboldi' if Federico Arnaboldi advances against Niccolo Ciavarella.
This market will resolve to 'Niccolo Ciavarella' if Niccolo Ciavarella advances against Federico Arnaboldi.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Federico Arnaboldi' if Federico Arnaboldi advances against Niccolo Ciavarella.
This market will resolve to 'Niccolo Ciavarella' if Niccolo Ciavarella advances against Federico Arnaboldi.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 9:34 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:34 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Federico Arnaboldi enters the M25 Fano clay-court matchup as the clear favorite against fellow Italian Niccolo Ciavarella, backed by his higher ranking near 527 and No. 4 seeding in the draw. The 26-year-old has compiled stronger results on the ITF circuit, including a three-set victory over Ciavarella on clay just weeks earlier in Bergamo. Ciavarella, ranked outside the top 900, faces a significant step up in competition level and recently dropped a straight-sets match in another M25 event. Both players share similar nationality and surface preference, yet Arnaboldi’s greater experience and consistent form on red clay create a wide gap reflected in trader pricing for the August 5 encounter. Late withdrawals or physical issues remain the primary variables that could shift outcomes in lower-tier ITF singles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions