Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz has introduced sharp downside volatility to near-term WTI crude prices, with July futures settling near $84.88 on June 12 after declines exceeding 3% amid ceasefire hopes. This development competes with EIA assumptions of sustained supply shut-ins driving 6.3 million b/d inventory draws in Q2 2026 and supporting Brent averages near $105/bbl through July, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the $70–$84 range. Traders weigh near-term tightness from Middle East production outages against expectations of gradual flow restoration later in the year and structural oversupply signals, including resilient non-OPEC output. Key upcoming catalysts include further diplomatic updates, weekly EIA inventory releases, and OPEC+ signals that could clarify the resolution path before June contract settlement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트원유 (CL) 는 6월에 무엇을 정산할 예정인가요?
원유 (CL) 는 6월에 무엇을 정산할 예정인가요?
$77-$84 32%
$70~$77 29.9%
>$84 이상 28%
$63-$70 8.3%
$239,247 거래량
$239,247 거래량
2026.06.30
$42 미만
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
2%
$63-$70
8%
$70~$77
30%
$77-$84
32%
>$84 이상
28%
$77-$84 32%
$70~$77 29.9%
>$84 이상 28%
$63-$70 8.3%
$239,247 거래량
$239,247 거래량
2026.06.30
$42 미만
$22,488 거래량
<1%
$42-$49
$11,082 거래량
<1%
$49-$56
$13,634 거래량
1%
$56-$63
$16,930 거래량
2%
$63-$70
$30,300 거래량
8%
$70~$77
$22,063 거래량
30%
$77-$84
$21,053 거래량
32%
>$84 이상
$101,698 거래량
28%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz has introduced sharp downside volatility to near-term WTI crude prices, with July futures settling near $84.88 on June 12 after declines exceeding 3% amid ceasefire hopes. This development competes with EIA assumptions of sustained supply shut-ins driving 6.3 million b/d inventory draws in Q2 2026 and supporting Brent averages near $105/bbl through July, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the $70–$84 range. Traders weigh near-term tightness from Middle East production outages against expectations of gradual flow restoration later in the year and structural oversupply signals, including resilient non-OPEC output. Key upcoming catalysts include further diplomatic updates, weekly EIA inventory releases, and OPEC+ signals that could clarify the resolution path before June contract settlement.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
마켓 개설일: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
거래량
$239,247종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz has introduced sharp downside volatility to near-term WTI crude prices, with July futures settling near $84.88 on June 12 after declines exceeding 3% amid ceasefire hopes. This development competes with EIA assumptions of sustained supply shut-ins driving 6.3 million b/d inventory draws in Q2 2026 and supporting Brent averages near $105/bbl through July, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the $70–$84 range. Traders weigh near-term tightness from Middle East production outages against expectations of gradual flow restoration later in the year and structural oversupply signals, including resilient non-OPEC output. Key upcoming catalysts include further diplomatic updates, weekly EIA inventory releases, and OPEC+ signals that could clarify the resolution path before June contract settlement.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
거래량
$239,247종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETRecent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz has introduced sharp downside volatility to near-term WTI crude prices, with July futures settling near $84.88 on June 12 after declines exceeding 3% amid ceasefire hopes. This development competes with EIA assumptions of sustained supply shut-ins driving 6.3 million b/d inventory draws in Q2 2026 and supporting Brent averages near $105/bbl through July, creating the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the $70–$84 range. Traders weigh near-term tightness from Middle East production outages against expectations of gradual flow restoration later in the year and structural oversupply signals, including resilient non-OPEC output. Key upcoming catalysts include further diplomatic updates, weekly EIA inventory releases, and OPEC+ signals that could clarify the resolution path before June contract settlement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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