Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated authority as Syria’s transitional president since his January 2025 appointment under a five-year constitutional framework, overseeing the July 2026 convening of a 210-member People’s Assembly and integration of Kurdish-led institutions into state structures. U.S. delisting of Syria as a state sponsor of terrorism, repeal of the Caesar Act sanctions regime, and high-level engagements with President Trump have bolstered diplomatic and economic prospects, while meetings with the UN Secretary-General and European leaders have reinforced international acceptance. Ongoing U.S.-mediated security talks with Israel and renewed ties with Russia reflect a pragmatic foreign policy focused on reconstruction rather than internal upheaval. Opinion surveys from early 2026 showed strong domestic approval, and no major institutional or factional challenges have emerged to threaten his position before the December 2026 market deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
8% chance
$69,740 Vol.
$69,740 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
8% chance
$69,740 Vol.
$69,740 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated authority as Syria’s transitional president since his January 2025 appointment under a five-year constitutional framework, overseeing the July 2026 convening of a 210-member People’s Assembly and integration of Kurdish-led institutions into state structures. U.S. delisting of Syria as a state sponsor of terrorism, repeal of the Caesar Act sanctions regime, and high-level engagements with President Trump have bolstered diplomatic and economic prospects, while meetings with the UN Secretary-General and European leaders have reinforced international acceptance. Ongoing U.S.-mediated security talks with Israel and renewed ties with Russia reflect a pragmatic foreign policy focused on reconstruction rather than internal upheaval. Opinion surveys from early 2026 showed strong domestic approval, and no major institutional or factional challenges have emerged to threaten his position before the December 2026 market deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
Volume
$69,740End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated authority as Syria’s transitional president since his January 2025 appointment under a five-year constitutional framework, overseeing the July 2026 convening of a 210-member People’s Assembly and integration of Kurdish-led institutions into state structures. U.S. delisting of Syria as a state sponsor of terrorism, repeal of the Caesar Act sanctions regime, and high-level engagements with President Trump have bolstered diplomatic and economic prospects, while meetings with the UN Secretary-General and European leaders have reinforced international acceptance. Ongoing U.S.-mediated security talks with Israel and renewed ties with Russia reflect a pragmatic foreign policy focused on reconstruction rather than internal upheaval. Opinion surveys from early 2026 showed strong domestic approval, and no major institutional or factional challenges have emerged to threaten his position before the December 2026 market deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$69,740End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated authority as Syria’s transitional president since his January 2025 appointment under a five-year constitutional framework, overseeing the July 2026 convening of a 210-member People’s Assembly and integration of Kurdish-led institutions into state structures. U.S. delisting of Syria as a state sponsor of terrorism, repeal of the Caesar Act sanctions regime, and high-level engagements with President Trump have bolstered diplomatic and economic prospects, while meetings with the UN Secretary-General and European leaders have reinforced international acceptance. Ongoing U.S.-mediated security talks with Israel and renewed ties with Russia reflect a pragmatic foreign policy focused on reconstruction rather than internal upheaval. Opinion surveys from early 2026 showed strong domestic approval, and no major institutional or factional challenges have emerged to threaten his position before the December 2026 market deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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