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Sports·NFL

2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick

icon for 2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick
Sports·NFL

2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick

Arch Manning 30%

Duce Robinson 9%

Trinidad Chambliss 9%

Julian Sayin 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Arch Manning 30%

Duce Robinson 9%

Trinidad Chambliss 9%

Julian Sayin 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Arch Manning

$53 Vol.

30%

Duce Robinson

$29 Vol.

9%

Trinidad Chambliss

$19 Vol.

9%

Julian Sayin

$11 Vol.

9%

Brendan Sorsby

$29 Vol.

9%

CJ Carr

$29 Vol.

9%

Darian Mensah

$54 Vol.

8%

Byrum Brown

$43 Vol.

23%

David Stone

$340 Vol.

5%

Leonard Moore

$29 Vol.

5%

Dylan Stewart

$88 Vol.

5%

Sam Leavitt

$29 Vol.

5%

John Mateer

$41 Vol.

5%

Jordan Seaton

$159 Vol.

4%

LaNorris Sellers

$112 Vol.

4%

Ellis Robinson IV

$81 Vol.

24%

Dante Moore

$41 Vol.

48%

Drew Mestemaker

$121 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2027 NFL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NFL Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by May 9, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dante Moore leads trader consensus for the 2027 first overall pick at 41.8% implied probability, driven by his decision to return to Oregon for the 2026 season after a breakout 2025 campaign featuring elite deep-ball accuracy and arm talent. Scouts seek continued growth against top competition as the Ducks enter the year with strong supporting talent. Arch Manning sits at 30% amid his established role at Texas and Manning family pedigree, while Drew Mestemaker at 26.5% benefits from Oklahoma State's offensive scheme and recent evaluation gains. The field remains fluid entering the 2026 college season, with defensive standouts and other QBs like CJ Carr holding lower probabilities pending performance and draft positioning.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2027 NFL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2027 NFL Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by May 9, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,309
End Date
Apr 23, 2027
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2027 NFL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NFL Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by May 9, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2027 NFL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NFL Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by May 9, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dante Moore leads trader consensus for the 2027 first overall pick at 41.8% implied probability, driven by his decision to return to Oregon for the 2026 season after a breakout 2025 campaign featuring elite deep-ball accuracy and arm talent. Scouts seek continued growth against top competition as the Ducks enter the year with strong supporting talent. Arch Manning sits at 30% amid his established role at Texas and Manning family pedigree, while Drew Mestemaker at 26.5% benefits from Oklahoma State's offensive scheme and recent evaluation gains. The field remains fluid entering the 2026 college season, with defensive standouts and other QBs like CJ Carr holding lower probabilities pending performance and draft positioning.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2027 NFL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2027 NFL Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by May 9, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,309
End Date
Apr 23, 2027
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2027 NFL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NFL Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by May 9, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

NFL 2026
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Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dante Moore" at 48%, followed by "Arch Manning" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick" is "Dante Moore" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arch Manning" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 Pro Football Draft: 1st Overall Pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.