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Política·Canadá

Elecciones a la alcaldía de Winnipeg

icon for Elecciones a la alcaldía de Winnipeg
Política·Canadá

Elecciones a la alcaldía de Winnipeg

Scott Gillingham 74%

Umar Hayat 13%

Don Woodstock 11.6%

Joshua Pagdato 11%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Scott Gillingham 74%

Umar Hayat 13%

Don Woodstock 11.6%

Joshua Pagdato 11%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Scott Gillingham

Scott Gillingham

$1,629 Vol.

74%

icon for Umar Hayat

Umar Hayat

$61 Vol.

13%

icon for Don Woodstock

Don Woodstock

$41 Vol.

12%

icon for Joshua Pagdato

Joshua Pagdato

$60 Vol.

11%

icon for Johnny Calderon

Johnny Calderon

$59 Vol.

10%

icon for Michael Vogiatzakis

Michael Vogiatzakis

$61 Vol.

9%

icon for Zachary Uminski

Zachary Uminski

$51 Vol.

8%

icon for Christopher Clacio

Christopher Clacio

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for Mazher Alam

Mazher Alam

$61 Vol.

5%

icon for Noah Redden

Noah Redden

$68 Vol.

4%

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.Incumbent Scott Gillingham holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the October 28, 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election, reflecting his established name recognition, record on transit expansion, housing reforms, and public safety initiatives since his 2022 victory. Multiple lower-profile candidates—including Zachary Uminski, Don Woodstock, Michael Vogiatzakis, Johnny Calderon, Joshua Pagdato, Umar Hayat, Christopher Clacio, Mazher Alam, and Noah Redden—have registered since the May 1 opening, yet none have consolidated significant support or mounted a unified challenge. A mid-2026 Probe poll indicated substantial voter dissatisfaction with Gillingham alongside limited confidence in alternatives, leaving the field fragmented ahead of the September 22 nomination deadline. This dynamic sustains market consensus around the incumbent’s re-election prospects while assigning lower implied probabilities to challengers.

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Volumen
$2,151
Fecha de finalización
28 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 3:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.Incumbent Scott Gillingham holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the October 28, 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election, reflecting his established name recognition, record on transit expansion, housing reforms, and public safety initiatives since his 2022 victory. Multiple lower-profile candidates—including Zachary Uminski, Don Woodstock, Michael Vogiatzakis, Johnny Calderon, Joshua Pagdato, Umar Hayat, Christopher Clacio, Mazher Alam, and Noah Redden—have registered since the May 1 opening, yet none have consolidated significant support or mounted a unified challenge. A mid-2026 Probe poll indicated substantial voter dissatisfaction with Gillingham alongside limited confidence in alternatives, leaving the field fragmented ahead of the September 22 nomination deadline. This dynamic sustains market consensus around the incumbent’s re-election prospects while assigning lower implied probabilities to challengers.

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Volumen
$2,151
Fecha de finalización
28 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 3:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones a la alcaldía de Winnipeg" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Scott Gillingham" con 74%, seguido de "Umar Hayat" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 74¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elecciones a la alcaldía de Winnipeg" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 10, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Winnipeg", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Winnipeg" es "Scott Gillingham" con 74%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 74% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Umar Hayat" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Winnipeg" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.