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icon for ¿Spider-Man: Brand New Day superará a Star Wars: The Force Awakens por...?

¿Spider-Man: Brand New Day superará a Star Wars: The Force Awakens por...?

icon for ¿Spider-Man: Brand New Day superará a Star Wars: The Force Awakens por...?

¿Spider-Man: Brand New Day superará a Star Wars: The Force Awakens por...?

NUEVO
13 sep 2026
Polymarket

$3,959 Vol.

Polymarket

13 de septiembre

$1,643 Vol.

45%

15 de septiembre

$1,191 Vol.

94%

17 de septiembre

$312 Vol.

96%

19 de septiembre

$330 Vol.

94%

21 de septiembre

$483 Vol.

96%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic box office run, already at roughly $925 million as of early September, has placed it within striking distance of Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ long-standing $936.6 million record. The film’s record $360 million opening, fastest pace to $800 million and $900 million domestically, and strong audience retention in premium formats have driven sustained weekly grosses with minimal late-summer competition. Positive critical reception for its character focus and Tom Holland-Zendaya chemistry, alongside MCU momentum heading into Avengers: Doomsday, have supported legs that outpace most blockbusters. Traders are watching upcoming chart updates and fall release schedules, as any dip below consistent single-digit millions could delay the crossover past near-term resolution dates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
Volumen
$3,959
Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s domestic box office run, already at roughly $925 million as of early September, has placed it within striking distance of Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ long-standing $936.6 million record. The film’s record $360 million opening, fastest pace to $800 million and $900 million domestically, and strong audience retention in premium formats have driven sustained weekly grosses with minimal late-summer competition. Positive critical reception for its character focus and Tom Holland-Zendaya chemistry, alongside MCU momentum heading into Avengers: Doomsday, have supported legs that outpace most blockbusters. Traders are watching upcoming chart updates and fall release schedules, as any dip below consistent single-digit millions could delay the crossover past near-term resolution dates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
Volumen
$3,959
Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:40 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Spider-Man: Brand New Day superará a Star Wars: The Force Awakens por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "17 de septiembre" con 96%, seguido de "21 de septiembre" con 96%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 96¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Spider-Man: Brand New Day superará a Star Wars: The Force Awakens por...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 8, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Spider-Man: Brand New Day superará a Star Wars: The Force Awakens por...?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Spider-Man: Brand New Day superará a Star Wars: The Force Awakens por...?" es "17 de septiembre" con 96%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "21 de septiembre" con 96%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Spider-Man: Brand New Day superará a Star Wars: The Force Awakens por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.