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WA-05 Ganadores de las primarias

icon for WA-05 Ganadores de las primarias

WA-05 Ganadores de las primarias

NUEVO
4 ago 2026
Polymarket

$328 Vol.

Polymarket

Michael Baumgartner

$67 Vol.

93%

Carmela Conroy

$0 Vol.

89%

Ann Marie Danimus

$33 Vol.

13%

David Womack

$53 Vol.

13%

Matthew Hayes

$18 Vol.

12%

Kyle Ursey

$27 Vol.

11%

Bajun Mavalwalla

$54 Vol.

11%

Andrew Bartleson

$0 Vol.

10%

Kevin Fagan

$66 Vol.

9%

Nate Powell

$12 Vol.

9%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s August 4 top-two primary for the 5th congressional district features incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner seeking a second term against a crowded field that includes Democrat Carmela Conroy, who lost to him by roughly 21 points in 2024, plus several other Democrats and independents. The district’s eastern Washington footprint has consistently favored Republicans, reflected in Baumgartner’s substantial fundraising edge and a recent poll showing him well ahead. Under Washington’s system, the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party, so vote-splitting among Democratic challengers could determine whether Conroy secures the second spot. No major late developments have altered the candidate lineup since the May filing deadline.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Volumen
$328
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s August 4 top-two primary for the 5th congressional district features incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner seeking a second term against a crowded field that includes Democrat Carmela Conroy, who lost to him by roughly 21 points in 2024, plus several other Democrats and independents. The district’s eastern Washington footprint has consistently favored Republicans, reflected in Baumgartner’s substantial fundraising edge and a recent poll showing him well ahead. Under Washington’s system, the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party, so vote-splitting among Democratic challengers could determine whether Conroy secures the second spot. No major late developments have altered the candidate lineup since the May filing deadline.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Volumen
$328
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"WA-05 Ganadores de las primarias" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Michael Baumgartner" con 93%, seguido de "Carmela Conroy" con 89%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 93¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"WA-05 Ganadores de las primarias" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 20, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "WA-05 Ganadores de las primarias", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "WA-05 Ganadores de las primarias" es "Michael Baumgartner" con 93%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Carmela Conroy" con 89%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "WA-05 Ganadores de las primarias" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.