The Swiss National Bank’s September 24 monetary policy assessment carries a 90% market-implied probability of no change, leaving the policy rate at its current 0% level. This pricing reflects entrenched trader consensus that low inflation—recently reported between 0.4% and 0.6% year-over-year—remains comfortably inside the SNB’s price-stability range below 2%, while the neutral rate estimate hovers near zero. Chairman Martin Schlegel’s September 11 remarks noted that recent energy-driven price increases have not altered the medium-term outlook, and the Swiss franc’s strength continues to dampen imported inflation pressures. Analysts from Nomura and Reuters surveys align with this view, forecasting a prolonged hold through 2026 and into 2027 absent a material shift in inflation or growth data. Minor probabilities attached to 25-basis-point moves in either direction capture only tail risks around the franc’s trajectory or any unexpected global energy shock ahead of the decision.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin cambios 90%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 3.7%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos 2.4%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos 1.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 sep 2026
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
2%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
4%
Sin cambios
90%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos
2%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
2%
Sin cambios 90%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 3.7%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos 2.4%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos 1.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 sep 2026
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
$441 Vol.
2%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
$713 Vol.
4%
Sin cambios
$3,245 Vol.
90%
Disminución de 25 puntos básicos
$361 Vol.
2%
Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos
$381 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The Swiss National Bank’s September 24 monetary policy assessment carries a 90% market-implied probability of no change, leaving the policy rate at its current 0% level. This pricing reflects entrenched trader consensus that low inflation—recently reported between 0.4% and 0.6% year-over-year—remains comfortably inside the SNB’s price-stability range below 2%, while the neutral rate estimate hovers near zero. Chairman Martin Schlegel’s September 11 remarks noted that recent energy-driven price increases have not altered the medium-term outlook, and the Swiss franc’s strength continues to dampen imported inflation pressures. Analysts from Nomura and Reuters surveys align with this view, forecasting a prolonged hold through 2026 and into 2027 absent a material shift in inflation or growth data. Minor probabilities attached to 25-basis-point moves in either direction capture only tail risks around the franc’s trajectory or any unexpected global energy shock ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ET
Volumen
$5,140Fecha de finalización
24 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The Swiss National Bank’s September 24 monetary policy assessment carries a 90% market-implied probability of no change, leaving the policy rate at its current 0% level. This pricing reflects entrenched trader consensus that low inflation—recently reported between 0.4% and 0.6% year-over-year—remains comfortably inside the SNB’s price-stability range below 2%, while the neutral rate estimate hovers near zero. Chairman Martin Schlegel’s September 11 remarks noted that recent energy-driven price increases have not altered the medium-term outlook, and the Swiss franc’s strength continues to dampen imported inflation pressures. Analysts from Nomura and Reuters surveys align with this view, forecasting a prolonged hold through 2026 and into 2027 absent a material shift in inflation or growth data. Minor probabilities attached to 25-basis-point moves in either direction capture only tail risks around the franc’s trajectory or any unexpected global energy shock ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,140Fecha de finalización
24 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Swiss National Bank’s September 24 monetary policy assessment carries a 90% market-implied probability of no change, leaving the policy rate at its current 0% level. This pricing reflects entrenched trader consensus that low inflation—recently reported between 0.4% and 0.6% year-over-year—remains comfortably inside the SNB’s price-stability range below 2%, while the neutral rate estimate hovers near zero. Chairman Martin Schlegel’s September 11 remarks noted that recent energy-driven price increases have not altered the medium-term outlook, and the Swiss franc’s strength continues to dampen imported inflation pressures. Analysts from Nomura and Reuters surveys align with this view, forecasting a prolonged hold through 2026 and into 2027 absent a material shift in inflation or growth data. Minor probabilities attached to 25-basis-point moves in either direction capture only tail risks around the franc’s trajectory or any unexpected global energy shock ahead of the decision.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes