SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which have traded near $135–$140 in late August after recovering from post-IPO lows, face closely matched trader probabilities across mid-$120s to mid-$160s ranges for the week of August 31. Recent Q2 results showed 92% revenue growth to $7.8 billion, driven by AI compute contracts and Starlink expansion, while the $100 billion Louisiana Starbase announcement drew bullish Morgan Stanley commentary citing attractive multiples on forward sales. However, staggered lock-up releases—including a sizable tranche near September 9—introduce near-term supply pressure amid a still-elevated valuation relative to 2025 revenue. This balance of growth catalysts versus dilution and multiple-compression risks explains the competitive odds distribution, with outcomes hinging on trading volume, any pre-unlock momentum, and broader risk appetite in the final days of the period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSpaceX (SPCX) cierra la semana del 31 de agosto a las ___?
<$120 40%
$120-$125 37%
$160-$165 37%
$155-$160 35%
<$120
40%
$120-$125
37%
$125-$130
7%
$130-$135
15%
$135-$140
24%
$140-$145
24%
$145-$150
15%
$150-$155
7%
$155-$160
35%
$160-$165
37%
>$165
31%
<$120 40%
$120-$125 37%
$160-$165 37%
$155-$160 35%
<$120
40%
$120-$125
37%
$125-$130
7%
$130-$135
15%
$135-$140
24%
$140-$145
24%
$145-$150
15%
$150-$155
7%
$155-$160
35%
$160-$165
37%
>$165
31%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Fuente de resolución
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which have traded near $135–$140 in late August after recovering from post-IPO lows, face closely matched trader probabilities across mid-$120s to mid-$160s ranges for the week of August 31. Recent Q2 results showed 92% revenue growth to $7.8 billion, driven by AI compute contracts and Starlink expansion, while the $100 billion Louisiana Starbase announcement drew bullish Morgan Stanley commentary citing attractive multiples on forward sales. However, staggered lock-up releases—including a sizable tranche near September 9—introduce near-term supply pressure amid a still-elevated valuation relative to 2025 revenue. This balance of growth catalysts versus dilution and multiple-compression risks explains the competitive odds distribution, with outcomes hinging on trading volume, any pre-unlock momentum, and broader risk appetite in the final days of the period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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